The GQ Approach – Laurel March 30

by | Mar 30, 2018 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing |

Great Soul takes the 2016 Wide Country. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park for the live spring racing meet, Post Time 1:10pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today's Carryovers
  • Rainbow Pick 6: $154,232.62
  • Super High 5: none
  • Late Pick 5: none
GQ's Handicapping Tip of the Day
Always tell the truth. Then you don't have to remember anything.Mark Twain Roughin' it
Best Bet of the Day
Race 4 / #6 – Emoticon (9-5)
Longshot Play of the Day
Race 6 / #3 – Service for Ten (10-1)
Multi-race Wagers
  • Race 1 – $2 Double  1, 3, 5  w/ 1, 4  ($12)
  • Race 4 – 20 cent Pick-6  6 w/ 2, 3, 5, 6 w/ 2, 3 w/ 2, 5 w/ 2, 3, 5, 8 w/ 1, 3, 6  ($38.40)
  • Race 8 – $2 Double  8  w/ 1, 3, 6 ($6)

Analysis

  • Weather: Mostly Cloudy with Showers, highs in the upper-50s
  • Scheduled turf races: NONE
  • Projected track conditions… Main: FAST to GOOD/SLOPPY 

1st race Post Time 1:10pm EDT

Race 1

  1. #5 – Wildly Clever (4-1): Just one of two in here who has previously raced at this two turn distance and has the best finish when losing the runner-up spot by a neck
  2. #1 – Roman Warrior (5-2): Increasing BRIS#s since making a one-way trip from Aqu four races back; drops back to this level where he was a distant runner-up in slop two back
  3. #3 – My Pal Jerry (9-2): Fourth in lone two turn dirt outing when sent off 6-5 favorite, nearly 6-leengths behind top pick; continues to earn minor shares while burn bettors money

Race 2

  1. #4 – Yo Soy El Lobo (6-1): Though 0 for 2 at Lrl this Pen-shipper has been facing better at his home track; third start after layoff for local trainer H. McMahon
  2. #1 – Final Forum (5-2): Winner of 4 of last 8 starts at levels lower and higher than today’s contest; missed by a whisker as Post Time favorite just 12 days ago for a nickel
  3. #6 – Phil’s Cocktail (9-5): Took advantage of a speed duel when in with just 3 others and prevailed by a head in second start off trainer J. Maldonado claim while taking on better crop than in the past

Race 3

  1. #7 – Boosting (8-5): Not a rousing vote of confidence in first start after trainer K. Magee claim (22%) to not only wait until this mare is out of jail but offer her for less; prospects of an off track helps (5:2-2-0)
  2. #6 – Li’lbito’gold (5-1): Based on her past could steal it on front end as foes lack early speed plus she’s been battling open nickel claimers as the rest of the field been struggling against conditional ones
  3. #3 – Postino’s Secret (7-2): She always tries but needs a little bit of pace to run at late; latest victory came at this one mile distance; gets different rider in R. Montanez who is 1 for 1 with trainer D. Worton’s trainees 

Race 4

  1. #6 – Emoticon (9-5): *** BEST BET *** Took a multi-class level jump in first start after trainer S. Lake claim and didn’t get embarrassed (4th) as third place finisher was a next out winner; drops one spot in making Lrl debut 
  2. #3 – Gin Fuzz (3-1): Poster Boy for “Seconditis” (21:1-7-2) was a surprise (23-1) runner-up in last effort versus restricted allowance company; drops N2L where he made nice late run three back 
  3. #2 – Chocomount (5-1): Second start with blinkers; this distance runner had no business sprinting so look for improvement with stretch back out and hot riding bug boy W. Hamilton on

Race 5

  1. #6 – Moonlight Shadow (7-2): MD-bred FTS by Trappe Shot out of a Not for Love mare work pattern last summer abruptly ended mid-August but both gelding and trainer R. Jenkins exited hibernation in Feb. turning in six nicely spaced drills leading up to today’s event
  2. #2 – Any Darn Day (6-1): Trainer J. Egan quietly does well with maidens (31%) and appears to have this gelded son of Any Given Saturday well meant for career debut with a nice work tab
  3. #3 – Treetop Flyer (8-5): Second best to next out winner makes this gelding logical choice but will have company vying for the early lead; 6f and handling an off track are big question marks

Race 6

  1. #3 – Service for Ten (10-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Third start after layoff and gets another 1/16th of ground to chase down leg weary rivals in deep stretch; blinkers go back on as does F. Lynch who last guided this 9-year-old to victory
  2. #2 – Magritte (5-2): Makes first start in nearly a year; was a vet scratch last Sunday when in for $7,500 tag yet surfaces here for $15k but is protected via Waiver Claiming Rule… Hmmm
  3. #4 – Parade of Nations (9-5): Had a great 3-year-old campaign (11:3-1-5) and got back to his winning ways in second/latest start of ’18; BRIS#s have been rising under conditioning of leading trainer C. Gonzalez 

Race 7

  1. #2/2x – My Golden Rose/Saint Penny (3-1): Formidable duo a dual-threat as “Rose” races second time with blinkers at distance she’s 2 for 4 while “Penny” provides the early pace and a Holy Week hunch bet opportunity
  2. #5 – Dorothyfromdublin (8-5): There’s nothing in her recent form that warrants a class drop to this bottom level, just the opposite as she’s competed for minor shares with AlwN1x after a 10-length romp against $10kN2L; might be a line outside the racing office to drop a claiming slip 
  3. #13 – Awesome Alma (12-1): Lightly races 4-year-old has been well-backed in all six outings as she has slide down the class ladder to the bottom to get career win #2; game runner-up effort at this level in latest and now cuts back to distance that she’s 1 for 1

Race 8

  1. #8 – El Areeb (3-1): Trying to regain the glory of his 3-year-old campaign but nagging issues with an abscess has negatively affected his performance; word is he’s as healthy as he’s been since comeback and recent bullet drill indicates all systems are go 
  2. #5 – Irish Colonel (9-2): Winner at Parx in latest over a “good” surface hasn’t had the same success at Lrl (2:0-0-0) though; regular rider J. Bisono won’t be aboard but Lrl leading jock will
  3. #2 – Sonny Inspired (8-1): Third race after layoff; has been mixing it up with those more talented in restricted stakes so class relief and extra furlong should help chances to be heard from in deep stretch

Race 9

  1. #3 – Hold That Kiss (5-1): Claimed out of debut for $16k showing willingness late but was outclassed in try versus $25kMCL while in jail; drops to the bottom and races second time with blinkers   
  2. #6 – Congrats Graduate (7-2): Has yet to find the board in six career outings, five on dirt, all of those sprints with running lines that suggest stretch out to two turns could result in best finish
  3. #1 – Debs the Boss (7-5): On paper should be Graduation Day but bettors have thought that twice before; third time at this level could be the charm after being runner-up previously

 

YESTERDAY’S NEWS  

  • On Sunday March 25th at Laurel had 6 winners from the 8-race card (3 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $9.60 (1st race), $12.80 (2nd), $5.00 (3rd), $10.60 (4th), $8.60 (7th) and $8.00 (8th). Top Selections are 100 for 328 (30.49%). In 2017, Top Selections went 340 for 1,197 (28.40%).
  • BEST BET of the Day (35: 10-9-3; in 2017 119: 39-25-19) Beautiful Maiden (3rd race: 9-2 M/L; 3-2 PT) brushed with I JUST WANNA WIN leaving the backstretch, circled the turn five deep, bid for the lead outside horses in mid-stretch and drove clear under left hand urging to prevail by one-and-one-half-lengths to return $5.00 to WIN, $3.20 to PLACE and $2.40 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (34: 4-7-5; in 2017 107: 18-13-15) Rydell (6th race: 8-1 M/L; 6-1 PT) lacked speed while saving ground, was nudged along past the three eighths, angled out and had some late action to finish fifth.

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