The GQ Approach – Laurel March 25

by | Mar 25, 2018 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing |

Great Soul takes the 2016 Wide Country. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park for the live spring racing meet, Post Time 1:10pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today's Carryovers
  • Rainbow Pick 6: $134,181.56
  • Super High 5: $7,401.49
  • Late Pick 5: none
GQ's Handicapping Tip of the Day
Troubled Trip in most recent race - Comments like “Steadied," “Checked," “Taken Up,” “5-6 wide throughout," etc. often point to a live horse that the bettors will overlook.
Best Bet of the Day
Race 3 / #7 – Beautiful Maiden (9-2)
Longshot Play of the Day
Race 6 / #7 – Rydell (8-1)
Multi-race Wagers
  • Race 1 – $2 Double  4  w/ 1, 2  ($4)
  • Race 3 – 20 cent Pick-6  6, 7, 8 w/ 3, 6, 7 w/ 5, 6 w/ 6, 7, 11 w/ 1, 4 w/ 4, 7, 8  ($64.80)
  • Race 7 – $2 Double  1  w/ 1, 4, 7, 8 ($8)

Analysis

  • Weather: Partly Sunny, highs in the upper-40s
  • Scheduled turf races: NONE
  • Projected track conditions… Main: FAST 

1st race Post Time 1:10pm EDT

Race 1

  1. #4 – Sir Bond (9-5): Been part of Exacta in all three efforts on the Lrl oval; surprised to see a deep pocket owner reclaim this 9-year-old gelding at a $2,500 premium
  2. #2 – Doddsprivatelabel (9-2): Makes just second start Lrl in 54th of career; lone start resulted in runner-up finish; drops in first start after S. Lake claim
  3. #5 – Magritte (2-1): How the mighty have fallen; this gelding was among the top MD-bred runners locally two years ago; resurfaces after an 11-month layoff for $7,500

Race 2

  1. #2 – Crouchelli (9-2): Stretches out to two turns after three career sprints having a running line that suggestion he’ll relish more real estate
  2. #1 – Platinum Pond (2-1): Gets J. Toledo back in the irons while dropping back to $40kMCL after a game SHOWing in MSW which was 2-months ago but has been steadily working in A.M. 
  3. #4 – Just Warmin’ Up (5-2): Continues to improve speed figure-wise while sprinting and always having late interest; third race after layoff; has an official work at one mile

Race 3

  1. #7 – Beautiful Maiden (9-2): *** BEST BET *** Offered nothing v. similar but the was going two turns; cuts back to sprint distance where she’s won 3 of 8 and gets reunited with R. Chiappe who has guide her to Winners’ Circle in 3 of 4 mounts
  2. #8 – Lemon Lover (3-1): Trainer L. Gaudet takes her time with those she claims and has stats to back up why (29% first after claim); protects this one who has been first or second in last five tries at this condition
  3. #6 – I Just Wanna Win (10-1): First start after K. Magee claim (23%) is always a good sign when connection protect them; will need to improve off two past efforts at this level though, failing to hit the board

Race 4

  1. #6 – I Came to Party (5-2): Well-travelled 5-year-old gelding has never been off the board at this one mile distance (4:1-2-1) but no better than third when racing at Lrl in four starts drops off trainer L. Gaudet claim 
  2. #3 – Rare Eagle (9-2): Just 1 for 10 over the Lrl dirt oval and 0 for 9 at distance makes this 7-year-old hard to endorse on top; F. Lynch retains mount even after claim by trainer A. Farrior
  3. #7 – Ten Hut (7-2): Loves the Lrl dirt surface (14:6-3-1) but last two have been at Prx without success; should be happy race on home dirt in third start after layoff

Race 5

  1. #6 – Cyclobomb (9-2): KY-bred FTS by Into Mischief out of a Meadowlake mare was a $185k yearling purchase and based on the morning work tab he appears to be a very promising late bloomer
  2. #5 – Saratoga Bob (8-5): Only runner in this contest with a race under his belt and that was a strong runner-up performance locally last Dec. behind next out winner at SA in AOC
  3. #2 – Major Hype (7-2): Motion trainee is a home/KY-bred gelded son of Sidney’s Candy out of an Aragorn might do better on turf but works on the Fai training track indicate he’ll like dirt

Race 6

  1. #7 – Rydell (8-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ This field of eleven has an abundance of early speed which this gelding does not and that’s why the prospects of a pace meltdown that sets up nicely even though it’s a double step up from beating $12,500N3L at Prx to this event
  2. #6 – Royal Crusader (7-2): Third start after layoff as the first two resulted on a runner-up and victory, the latter coming in latest at today’s distance; is as game as they come at every level 
  3. #11 – Magician’scalendar (10-1): Been battling tough restricted Alw foes of late without the success so it makes sense to drop to this level in spite of being just a two-time winner against those who have won three

Race 7

  1. #1 – Frosty Margarita (2-1): Time and time again the “second race with blinkers” angle has paid handsome rewards; this mare got ML oddsmaker nod as favorite though just one win in 15-months
  2. #4 – Prevailing Party (4-1): BRIS speed figures have been ascending; gets J. Vargas, Jr. back in the irons after a so-so SHOW finish going a sixteenth further than today in same condition
  3. #5 – Princess Palomar (3-1): Private purchase after latest win (Jan. 20) in OC$25k that saw runner-up come back to win in next outing; three works since at Pim have been sparkling

Race 8

  1. #4 – Ms Picadilly (6-5): Hard to go against her in here as she’s shown early speed since coming off 2-month layoff but failed to carry that speed to the wire, being bridesmaid in both
  2. #8 – Issue a Warrant (6-1): Filly might be better served going long based on pedigree but for now will try to improve on first two outings where she’s used too much speed too early
  3. #7 – Prettyasnewmoney (4-1): Beaten favorite when coming off 5-month layoff and dropping to this bottom level; hot riding W. Hamilton willing to give her another try /em>

YESTERDAY’S NEWS  

  • On Saturday March 24th at Laurel had just 3 winners from the 9-race card (2 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $7.20 (3rd race), $5.80 (5th) and $4.00 (8th). Top Selections are 97 for 320 (30.31%). In 2017, Top Selections went 340 for 1,197 (28.40%).
  • BEST BET of the Day (34:9-9-3; in 2017 119: 39-25-19) Bash (4th race: 5-2 M/L; 4-5 PT) was allowed to settle, circled into the stretch six wide, and churned on to just earn the place spot to return $2.20 to PLACE and $2.10 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (33:4-7-5; in 2017 107: 18-13-15) Emma’sdiamonddiva (7th race: 10-1 M/L; 16-1 PT) was off a step slow, unhurried into stride, angled out leaving the turn, finished well but was left with too much to do to get up for third to return $7.60 to SHOW.

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