The GQ Approach – Laurel March 11

by | Mar 11, 2018 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing

Great Soul takes the 2016 Wide Country. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park for the live winter racing meet, Post Time 12:30pm EST including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

[su_box title=”Today’s Carryovers” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”]
  • Rainbow Pick 6: $62,695
  • Super High 5: none
  • Late Pick 5: $4,016[/su_box]
[su_box title=”GQ’s Handicapping Tip of the Day” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”][stray-random][/su_box]
[su_box title=”Best Bet of the Day” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”]Race 6 / #6 – Adversary (3-1)[/su_box]
[su_box title=”Longshot Play of the Day” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”] Race 4 / #2 – Nobody’s Angel (8-1)[/su_box]
[su_box title=”Multi-race Wagers” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”]
  • Race 1 – $2 Double  1, 2, 6  w/ 1, 3  ($12)
  • Race 3 – 50 cent Pick-3  4, 5, 7  w/ 2, 5, 7  w/ 1, 2, 7  ($13.50)
  • Race 5 – 50 cent Pick-5  1, 2  w/ 6  w/ 4, 5, 9  w/ 1, 2  w/ 2, 10, 11  ($18)
  • Race 8 – $2 Double  1, 2  w/ 2, 10, 11 ($12)

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

  • Weather: Mostly Sunny, highs in the upper-40s
  • Scheduled turf races: NONE
  • Projected track conditions… Main: FAST 

1st race Post Time 1:10pm EST

Race 1

  1. #2 – Chapel of Chimes (8-5): Has the back class to handle this group while in jail for new trainer T. Iannotti in gate-to-wire fashion
  2. #6 – Z Nation (15-1): Closer got SHOW purse after a wide trip in latest versus open $5k claimersin the slop; this conditional $7,500 may not be that tougher
  3. #1 – Benchmark Babe (9-5): Takes appropriate class drop in third start after KTL claim; should show more early speed

Race 2

  1. #1 – Danyelli (2-5): NY shipper for trainer R. Rodriguez makes a solo trip as stablemate #1A is a scratch; this one gets replacement jock J.D. Acosta who has no problem getting speedy ones to the front early; third in in $100k stakes at Aqu
  2. #3 – Elevated Vision (6-1): 81 BRIS# in maiden breaking debut has been flattered by many others coming out of that race
  3. #2 – Yes I Dance (8-1): Recent Fasig-Tipton TIM Dec. $17k purchase destroyed five rivals at CT by widening lengths in debut; was quick from the gate and should give top pick a challenge early

Race 3

  1. #5 – Zap Cat (7-5): 0 for 20 but today is the day this 5-year-old earns his diploma, said the handicapper with reservations; both starts at this level resulted in 2 for his 5 runner-up finishes
  2. #4 – Kukulkan (8-1): No Lasix in seven previous starts but gets it today which could make the difference after his best to efforts of career, being second best here going 6 furlongs
  3. #7 – Mr McGinty (9-5): Took a lot of action (7-2) in debut and was prominent early with a number of speedy ones in MSW who have since broke their maiden; he faded but drop in for a tag will be easier
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Race 4

  1. #2 – Nobody’s Angel (8-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Comes off brief 3-month layoff after failing as Post Time favorite at Pen versus similar; based on bullet 3f work 3 days ago, she could be ready for a gate-to-wire score
  2. #5 – Janealee (2-1): Nearly matched career bet speed figure when bridesmaid in first start for trainer D. Worton after private sale to Wasabi who’s been making presence known in the Mid-Atlantic; lone win came on an off track but it will be fast today
  3. #7 – Tiz Majesty (7-2): Didn’t fire in mud in latest when sent off as 9-5 favorite to get second win in 29th career start, double-digits behind #5; can make amends as her one win came at this two turn distance

Race 5

  1. #2 – Take Warning (3-1): Ran behind a good one while nearly 5-lengths clear of third place finisher; that was on a sloppy Lrl surface
  2. #1 – Durango Kid (5-2): Been knocking heads with talent a bit better than at this level of late; gets fifth different jock in sixth career start
  3. #7 – Big Bad Ben (10-1): Went deep against four bottom level maidens in career debut to win by half dozen lengths; though foes weren’t nearly the caliber he’ll face today, the fractions measure up      

Race 6

  1. #6 – Adversary (3-1): *** BEST BET *** Has gotten very little love by the bettors, going off double-digit odds in three races following trainer R. Sanchez-Salomon’s claim off KTL but has started to show some of his back class; needs an honest pace and should get it
  2. #2 – The Iron Bank (5-1): Speed figures on the rise while racing on an off track at Lrl of late; SHOW effort in last outing looks good as runner-up came back to win
  3. #5 – Gaelic Man (4-1): Beaten favorite makes third start after layoff; retains services of R. Montanez who’s been winning at a 21% clip for trainer W. Potts

Race 7

  1. #4 – Two Carats (8-1): Takes appropriate drop from $40kMCL to $25k after a pair of fifth place finishes to start career against a few fillies who have graduated since; today is her turn
  2. #5 – Simonela (3-1): This filly is a true “iron horse” as she’s making her 17th career start, all in a span of 6-months; hard to put her on top as she’s seemed to be the logical choice in the past yet failed to get to Winners’ Circle
  3. #9 – Splendor Gal (5-1): Been like a Yo-Yo from $40k to $25k levels in first four starts; has the early speed when facing this talent level to get to the lead; cut back from 6f to 5½ could be the winning move  

Race 8

  1. #2/2x – Charity Stripe/Sneaky Betty (2-1): Trainer A. Farrior sends out this pair who ran 2nd and 3rd for same condition in latest efforts; the old 2-for-1 proposition seems like a good thing here
  2. #1/1A – Fleur de Force/Dorothyfromdublin (6-1): Another 2-for-1 from the J. Maldonado barn will compliment one another well as “Dorothy” should help with the early pace to give “Fleur” a chance for a late rally
  3. #7 – Hell of Afire (3-1): Like the stretch out from 7 furlongs to 1 1/16 mile as this 5-year-old mare has won and showed in her only two efforts at this distance

Race 9

  1. #10 – Awesome Standard (8-1): Bothered at the start prevented getting involved early as he does when being competitive throughout a contest; with J.D. back aboard he’s worth another shot as multiple winners came out of his fourth place effort two back
  2. #11 – True Arch (15-1): Second start with blinkers… that’s all you need to know as this angle often produces prices who hit the board
  3. #2 – The Great Ronaldo (8-1): Has been dropping in class like a sack of potatoes; hits bottom today so if he can’t turn it around here, he’ll be showing up in the entries at CT shortly



  • On Saturday March 10th at Laurel had 5 winners from the 9-race card (1 Top Selection; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $6.80 (1st race), $7.80 (4th), $4.00 (5th), $7.20 (6th) and $4.40 (7th). Top Selections are 85 for 265 (32.08%). In 2017, Top Selections went 340 for 1,197 (28.40%).
  • BEST BET of the Day (28:9-7-3; in 2017 119: 39-25-19) Sam Sparkle (2nd race: 2-1 M/L; 6-5 PT) bid outside the leader nearing the half mile marker, dueled on a slim lead between rivals approaching the stretch, dug in after being headed in upper stretch and continued valiantly to the inside of the winner missing by a head and returned $2.80 to PLACE with no SHOW wagering due to late scratches.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (27:4-6-3; in 2017 107: 18-13-15) Gaetano (8th race: 5-1 M/L; 7-1 PT) off the pace, saved ground into the lane, failed to menace and finished fourth.