The GQ Approach – Laurel February 24

by | Feb 24, 2018 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing

Great Soul takes the 2016 Wide Country. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park for the live winter racing meet, Post Time 12:30pm EST including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

[su_box title=”Today’s Carryovers” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”]
  • Rainbow Pick 6: $13,970.23
  • Super High 5: $1,481.01
  • Late Pick 5: none[/su_box]
[su_box title=”GQ’s Handicapping Tip of the Day” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”][stray-random][/su_box]
[su_box title=”Best Bet of the Day” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”]Race 6 / #3 – Campari (7-2)[/su_box]
[su_box title=”Longshot Play of the Day” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”] Race 8 / #4 – Bestkindoftrouble (5-1)[/su_box]
[su_box title=”Multi-race Wagers” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”]
  • Race 1 – $2 Double  1, 4, 5  w/ 1, 3  ($12)
  • Race 3 – 50 cent Pick-3  3, 4, 5  w/ 1, 7  w/ 4, 5, 6, 8  ($12)
  • Race 5 – 50 cent Pick-5  4, 7  w/ 3, 7  w/ 3, 4, 6, 9  w/ 4, 6  w/ 3, 5  ($32)
  • Race 8 – $2 Double  4, 6  w/ 3, 5, 7 ($12)

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

  • Weather: Mostly Cloudy with showers, highs in the low-50s
  • Scheduled turf races: NONE
  • Projected track conditions… Main: SLOPPY 

1st race Post Time 12:30pm EST

Race 1

  1. #5 – Bobbyalexsgoldmark (3-1): Found the right level to dispose of N2L in latest while being 5-wide at the quarter; BRIS#s have been climbing since C. Gonzalez claim four races back
  2. #4 – T Sizzle (6-1): 7-year-old drops to lowest level of 30-race career seeking elusive third victory; catching an off track helps (3:1-1-0) as does trainer M. Eppler’s 20% route-to-sprint stat
  3. #1 – Junction (5-1): Nice effort when stepped up in first off K. Cox claim behind next out winner and one who is in today’s 7th v. Alwn1x; adds blinkers

Race 2

  1. #1/1A – Showalter/O Dionysus (3-1): “Buck” will ensure a quick early pace for stablemate “O” who was last seen competing in Preakness Trail races quite successfully; nice work tab since mid-Dec indicates he’s ready to pick up where he left off in first race v. elders
  2. #3 – Spirit Grabber (6-1): 2 for 2 at this 7f distance; comes off two turn victory over two foes who came back yesterday to run 1-2
  3. #4 – Bridget’s Big Luvy (5-1): Beaten favorite at this level in latest as he bounced off career best BRIS# (100) when runner-up in Jennings

Race 3

  1. #4 – Sir Sidney (4-1): Couldn’t carry speed one mile so this 9-year-old gelding cuts back a panel in hopes of outlasting others for Prx-based trainer D. Velazquez seeking first Lrl win in 11th try
  2. #3 – Turbin (9-2): Bad stumble at start and lost jock in race that was setup perfectly for his Closing kick; not quite the same this time around but gets E. Trujillo back aboard to make amends
  3. #5 – Goodbyeseeulater (7-5): Ran carbon copy third-place efforts when sent off Post Time favorite in last two, the latest when dropped to this open nickel; did beat #3 in here prior to those going 7f all on a fast track (8:1-1-3 on an off track)
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Race 4

  1. #1 – Finding Perfection (1-1): Deserves to be short priced Morning Line favorite after SHOW effort in debut earned 79 BRIS#; runner-up from that one came back to easily break maiden in next start; rail assignment is only concern
  2. #7 – More Better (6-1): Third in debut back in mid-Dec when 5-1 as winner came behind to win again and runner-up was convincing winner two races after that one; the work tab is brilliant but trainer J. Egan needs to break an 0 for 21 with runners coming off 46-90 day layoff
  3. #4 – Velocita Brillante (6-1): Adds blinkers after dull effort when sent off Post Time favorite following sharp runner-up effort as trainer T. Keefe win pct. more than doubles (28%) with beaten favorites

Race 5

  1. #8 – Bad Nana (4-1): Third time at Lrl could be the charm especially on drop back to level trainer H. McMahon claimed her; will need a smart ride from S. Russell (21% w/ McMahon) as he’ll have company early 
  2. #5 – Expect Indy (4-1): Seen this move by trainer K. Magee before in first race off claim, gets out of “jail”, enters right back at same condition but at a discount to get 4 lbs. off… like this mare needs it w/ J. Vargas, Jr. in the irons; nice off track record (3:1-1-1)
  3. #4 – Hashtag Selfie (3-1): Third start after brief layoff comes off gate-to-wire score as favorite v. N3L in slop here while hung 6-wide into first turn; won’t be that easy this time

Race 6

  1. #3 – Campari (7-2): *** BEST BET *** Took early money when a distant third in just third career start, first v. winners which was a tough, restricted Alwn1x going two turns; cuts backs to 7 panels which fits pedigree better; S. Russell opts to ride this one v. ML fav. for trainer who he’s been winning at a 21% clip, Hmmm  
  2. #7 – McPherson (4-1): There’s no “need the lead” types in this contest so this fragile gelding who gets a break at least 6-weeks between races could be keen enough to inherit early lead; likes the Lrl main oval (3:1-1-1)  
  3. #1 – Young American (8-5): Best last BRIS# (90) makes him the logical choice but hard to take on a 1 for 21 runner at any level let alone one with the tag in an OC$25k; does all his running late but likely will come up short with a slow early pace and less real estate to cover

Race 7

  1. #3 – Twin Valor (3-1): A good barometer of his chances will be the outcome of Race 6 as beat the #3 in that one by 8+ lengths in restricted Alwn1x; this open condition one isn’t among the tougher this capper has seen
  2. #6 – Jump Jive an Wail (5-1): Consistent runner always picks up a check comes off earning SHOW purse in this condition following victory v. restricted much like top pick; handles an off track just fine (6:2-1-1)
  3. #4 – King Koa (5-2): A rare bird in this sport as this gelding in eight career starts has never run w/ Lasix; does add blinkers after a dull outing at Aqu; 2 for 2 at this one mile distance

Race 8

  1. #4 – Bestkindoftrouble (5-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Third start after layoff has backed up in first two going 7 furlongs then 6; if F. Boyce can get him away from the gate quickly as he showed last Fall, then he’s a threat to go gate-to-wire on further cut back to 5½ furlongs
  2. #6 – Wild Dreams (8-5): Ran off the screen in latest against lesser while earning career best 94 BRIS#; did get the better of the #2 in here two back over a “good” Lrl oval at this level
  3. #2 – Correjon (2-1): Was fortunate to get up late to complete the Trifecta two back when behind ML favorite as he was “unprepared at the start”; couldn’t outlast one rival going 7f in latest; never OTB in 5 Lrl outings nor 4 at this distance

Race 9

  1. #3 – Brute Force (9-2): Is just one of two in here who could take this field of N2L from gate-to-wire; in spite of failing to get to Winners’ Circle in eight previous tries at this distance, lone win from 18 starts came on an off track
  2. #5 – All Spun Up (2-1): Trainer J. Corrales claim has not worked not while being an Also Ran against better than the $5kN2L he nearly beat when claimed; time to pay for some bills by getting a bigger check and risk losing him to bottom feeders
  3. #7 – Bungalow (3-1): Is the other speed horse in here as J. Torres takes over who tends to get more out of runners early than others; boasts best BRIS Prime Power number; lone win came on turf going two turns



  • On Friday February 23rd at Laurel had 6 winners from the 9-race card (3 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $19.80 (1st race), $6.40 (2nd), $5.80 (3rd), $8.80 (5th), $4.40 (7th) and $4.40 (8th). Top Selections are 70 for 202 (34.65%). In 2017, Top Selections went 340 for 1,197 (28.40%).
  • BEST BET of the Day (22:8-2-3; in 2017 119: 39-25-19) Eastern Bay (8th race: 2-1 M/L; 6-5 PT) prompted the pace to the inside of THE GREAT PROVIDER, drew on near even terms under some coaxing mid turn, secured command entering the lane, spurted clear under a turned down right stick, was kept alert with a few more cracks then was under steady hand urging the final seventy yards to win by two-and-three-quarter-lengths and returned $4.60 to WIN, $3.20 to PLACE and $2.20 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (21:4-4-2; in 2017 107: 18-13-15) Only One Wish (3rd race: 8-1 M/L; 6-1 PT) along the inner rail most of the trip, was outrun and finished fifth.