The GQ Approach – Laurel February 23

by | Feb 23, 2018 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing

Great Soul takes the 2016 Wide Country. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park for the live winter racing meet, Post Time 12:30pm EST including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

[su_box title=”Today’s Carryovers” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”]
  • Rainbow Pick 6: $10,905
  • Super High 5: $1,016
  • Late Pick 5: none[/su_box]
[su_box title=”GQ’s Handicapping Tip of the Day” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”][stray-random][/su_box]
[su_box title=”Best Bet of the Day” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”]Race 8 / #2 – Eastern Bay (2-1)[/su_box]
[su_box title=”Longshot Play of the Day” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”] Race 3 / #3 – Only One Wish (8-1)[/su_box]
[su_box title=”Multi-race Wagers” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”]
  • Race 1 – $2 Double  3, 6, 7  w/ 3  ($6)
  • Race 3 – 50 cent Pick-3  3, 6, 8  w/ 1, 3, 6  w/ 3, 4, 7  ($13.50)
  • Race 5 – 50 cent Pick-5  4, 7  w/ 3, 7  w/ 2, 5, 7  w/ 2  w/ 2, 4, 9  ($64)
  • Race 8 – $2 Double  2, 4  w/ 2, 4, 9 ($12)

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

  • Weather: Mostly Cloudy with showers, highs in the upper-40s
  • Scheduled turf races: NONE
  • Projected track conditions… Main: SLOPPY to GOOD

1st race Post Time 12:30pm EST

Race 1

  1. #6 – Lucky Kick (8-1): Sheds blinkers after a dull trip in first try with them on which followed a promising debut showing late interest at quarter mile shorter than today’s distance 
  2. #7 – Love Doctor (6-1): The good “Doctor” has improved his speed figs in last two efforts albeit on the drop from $16k to $10k and stretching out from sprint should help chances to graduate  
  3. #3 – Patriotic Quest (3-1): Found himself on the lead going two turns for first time in sixth career outing before giving way to winner by 9½ lengths; cut back to one turn mile might do the trick 

Race 2

  1. #3 – Witchy’s Laststand (2-1): Tough rail assignment (due to two entries) but tends not to be bad when track is “off” as he broke his maiden at Del from the #1 hole at this distance on a “good” oval
  2. #2x – Brahms Romp (9-5): Pair of Brahms AR-breds were scheduled hit track for twelve time in their careers but the better of the two (Sir Brahms) was a trainer scratch; only time either had been sent off as favorite, “Romp” won; makes his third start after layoff and logged career best speed fig in latest; early tote action should tell the tale
  3. #1 – Sir Mischief (4-1): Originally part of a C. Lynch entry as #1A Noregretsfornow is a trainer scratch; this one breaks from the two hole (not rail) and has showed early foot in last three, prevailing at bottom of maiden ranks two back then was out of his league in a OC$50kn1x; gate to wire threat here

Race 3

  1. #3 – Only One Wish (8-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Among a few class droppers in a contest loaded with early speed while she can come from off-the-pace; makes third start for trainer S. Lake as she broke along a dead rail in both previous outings; lone win came on an “off” track
  2. #8 – Perfect Deal (7-2): One of a few in here who always break on top but that will change today; had to be used to try to get lead in latest when stumbled out of the gate and veered outward
  3. #6 – Notable Game (3-1): Makes first start of ’18 on a drop from $10k to $5kN2L; was runner-up over a sloppy Pim surface as dam sire Waquoit loved it wet; J. Torres sticks with her after losing by 34 in latest
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Race 4

  1. #1 – Stolen Love (3-1): Couldn’t hold off Dattt Melody in the mud who came back to SHOW in the John B. Campbell last weekend but this 8-year-old geldings next win on an off track will be his first (13:0-5-3); should be able to clear field early to get a good position off the rail
  2. #3 – Grecian Prince (9-5): Won latest the way a 3-2 Post Time favorite should, by 5+ lengths; been part of Exacta wherever racing on an off track (4:1-3-0) but runner-up 13 times with just 5 wins from 34 starts makes it tough to endorse on top
  3. #6 – Prime Time Man (4-1): Makes second start off trainer K. Magee claim (27%) and retains Vargas (29% w/ trainer) in the irons; barn must really like this gelding as it’s the third time they’ve claimed him; 4 of 5 wins have come on turf, the other on an off track

Race 5

  1. #7 – In Him With Him (4-1): One look at this groups PPs tell ya there’s a big difference between $40kMCL and $25kMCL; this one realized it in first off D. Dilodovico claim when hung out wide breaking from #13 hole; look for a better effort as he’s back at level where he missed by a neck    
  2. #4 – Bad Angel Burke (3-1): Either the drop or mud or both helped him move forward after dull debut against a few foes who have proven to be good ones; still needs to improve as he was behind top pick in latest
  3. #3 – Cash Exchange (5-2): Logical lukewarm ML choice drops from $40k to $25k after racing evenly along the rail going one mile; should appreciate cut back to 6 furlongs 

Race 6

  1. #7 – Munificent (8-5): Disappointed Chalk players when faded to fourth in deep stretch after an extended duel with multiple rivals early; that won’t be the case in this contest as she’ll get a few breathers 
  2. #3 – Aiden’s Rag Doll (6-1): Russell lands here instead of on #4 (Thrice) trained by H. McMahon who he’s been winning with at a 23% clip, Hmmm; nice trio of drills  
  3. #1 – Clare’s Dowery (9-2): First outing since Dec. 29 and trainer K. Magee claim but is protected in this optional claimer; has never raced on an off track  

Race 7

  1. #5 – Prank Call (9-5): Elevated to second when “herded” by a rival in deep stretch in most recent effort; based on speed figures, a repeat of either of her last two will get her to the Winners Circle
  2. #7 – Queen to Checkmate (12-1): Not the cleanest of trips in latest which certainly compromised a better placing as she previously beat the runner-up
  3. #2 – Dance Or Stroll (5-1): Though with just two fourth-place efforts to show for it since trainer P. Magill $15k claim, she has faced better in those; drops back a level which could be a winning move

Race 8

  1. #2 – Eastern Bay (2-1): *** BEST BET *** Forecast would lead one to believe the Lrl surface will be wet which is music to trainer F. Allen’s ears as his 4-year-old gelding is a perfect 3 for 3 on an off track; is in top form on career based on climbing speed figures with best (102) coming in last start 
  2. #4 – Jrock (6-1): No shame in coming up short against stakes winner Lewisfield in first start after leading trainer C. Gonzalez claim who gets 33% to Winners Circle in second outing
  3. #7 – Concordia’s Way (6-1): Like Jrock, was no match for Lewisfield but gets preferred distance (5 1/2f) this time along with an off track which yielded 2 of his 3 career wins from just 5 tries v. 3 for 22 overall

Race 9

  1. #4 – Gaelic Man (5-2): Huge speed figure leap (66 to 81 Bris) when lost by a whisker at Pen for trainer W. Potts who claimed this one for a nickel last Feb. in only start at Lrl… a winning one
  2. #2 – Mountain Cry (12-1): Could catch the plethora of early speed types in here regardless of so-so effort v. similar in Lrl debut; has back class to step up with a solid effort at a price
  3. #9 – Nice Try (6-1): Been barely earning a living at CT going 4 1/2f yet finally hit the board at Lrl in seventh start at this venue three back traveling a furlong further; runner-up came back to win  


  • On Monday February 19th at Laurel had just 4 winners from the 9-race card (2 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $4.80 (1st race), $5.80 (5th) and $6.80 (6th) and  $6.00 (8th). Top Selections are 67 for 193 (34.72%). In 2017, Top Selections went 340 for 1,197 (28.40%).
  • BEST BET of the Day (21:7-2-3; in 2017 119: 39-25-19) Lonely Weekend (6th race: 3-1 M/L; 2-1 PT) drafted back off of a contested pace while well removed from the rail, gathered momentum while under a ride mid-turn, came six wide into the stretch, made a grinding run under left handed encouragement, collared the leader in deep stretch, forged ahead to prevail by a half-length and returned $6.80 to WIN, $3.20 to PLACE and $2.80 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (20:4-4-2; in 2017 107: 18-13-15) Can’tmakethisup (7th race: 12-1 M/L; 12-1 PT) worked between horses in the stretch and had a mild rally inside rivals to get up to be second best and returned $6.80 to PLACE and $4.20 to SHOW.