The GQ Approach – Laurel April 2

by | Apr 2, 2017 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing

Mizz Money (#9) held off Vielsalm (in between) and Heath (#12) to win the Grade 3 Gallorette. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park (w/ live racing every Friday, Saturday and Sunday through May 7, 2017; Post Time 1:10pm EDT), including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Jackpot Pick-5, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

[su_box title=”Today’s Carryovers” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”]
  • Rainbow Pick 6: $1,577.56
  • Super High 5: no carryover
  • Late Pick 5: no carryover[/su_box]
[su_box title=”GQ’s Handicapping Tip of the Day” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”][stray-random][/su_box]
[su_box title=”Best Bet of the Day” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”]Race 5 / #1 – Miss Nosy (7-2)[/su_box]
[su_box title=”Longshot Play of the Day” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”] Race 6 / #7 – Carolina Dreams (8-1)[/su_box]
[su_box title=”Multi-race Wagers” style=”glass” box_color=”#66ADCC”]
  • Race 1: $2 Double  1, 4  w/ 2, 3  ($8)
  • Race 3: $0.50 Pick-3  3, 5, 6  w/ 2, 9, 10  w/ 1, 2, 3 ($13.50)
  • Race 5: $0.50 Pick-4  1, 2, 3  w/ 3, 4, 7  w/ 1, 6  w/ 2, 7 ($18)
  • Race 7: $2 Double  1, 6  w/ 2, 7  ($8)
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[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

  • Weather: Mostly Sunny; highs in the mid-50s
  • Scheduled Turf races: 4th, 6th and 8th
  • Projected track conditions… Main: FAST  Turf: OFF

Post Time for 1st race is 1:10pm EDT

Race 1

  1. #1 – Speightshill (1-1): Tough to take even money or possibly less on this 1 of 20 5-year-old gelding but that speaks volumes about his competition; class drop and cut back to 6f makes him the one to beat
  2. #4 – All Blinged Out (5-1): Spent first six races of career in Ohio Valley jumping from TP to Mnr to Btp and back getting trounced in all 4 races v. winners at low levels; so what’s the attraction? Trainer L. Gaudet takes over and adds Blinkers… she 3 for 6 with this angle
  3. #3 – Maryland’s Best (6-1): Last year showed promise when third in MD Million Nursery but bled in next start, hence addition of Lasix in first start in 3-months

Race 2

  1. #3 – Royal Hussar (5-2): Has traded punches with the two others mentioned here in last 3; like the rider switch to A. Cintron who has gotten 21% of “Ham” Smith’s runners to Winners Circle
  2. #2 – Clubman (9-5): This early Triple Crown nominee has shown talent in first 3 career starts but appears to lack will to win; trainer J. Egan adds Blinkers in hopes today is Graduation Day
  3. #7 – Twin Valor (3-1): Lost by a whisker in only race (of 8) at this one mile distance; H. Karamanos needs this one to relax early in order to have enough left in the tank for the stretch drive     

Race 3

  1. #3 – Squashville Road (3-1): Trainer J. Robb has this one moving forward since $10k claim 4 races back; speed figures have steadily improved and is only runner in here to have won at one mile… and did it twice
  2. #6 – Bull Ensign (9-5): Vulnerable favorite appears to be off form which explains the drop from AlwN1x; blinkers off angle will attract those who swear by it; will need pace help
  3. #5 – Ten Hut (7-2): Tries to stretch out from sprints which didn’t go well once before but that was prior to owner/trainer G. Rosenthal’s prudent claim for $5k; could find himself on the lead early and steal it if nobody challenges him             
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Race 4 is OFF THE TURF

  1. #9 – Pomeroy’s Package (4-1): Mother Nature postponed Turf Season Opening Day at Laurel; Lone Lrl dirt try was forgettable but was in G3 DeFrancis Dash; he’s the speed of the speed and with the field decimated with scratches is the one to beat
  2. #10 – Flyingtobechilders (7-2): Whether on or off the turf, this 8-year-old gelding does equally well on either surface; comes off second main track victory in 8 such starts        
  3. #2 – Ruth Less Blue (9-2): Trainer H. McMahon does well second race after claim; though he had hoped for turf, this one’s first fast track try v. open $16k at Pen was a decent effort

Race 5

  1. #1 – Miss Nosy (7-2): *** BEST BET *** Stepped up in latest only to have saddle slip in early stages of that contest; Y. Ortiz should take advantage of a paceless race and milk to early fractions to save enough gas for the long stretch run to the second wire            
  2. #2 – Our Karin Louise (3-1): Seems when this filly was runner-up in Lrl debut two back she was in peak form based on laying an egg in next/latest outing v. many of the same, two of which (#1 & #3) are in here      
  3. #3 – Include a Check (5-2): Successful two turn stretch out against N2L in latest and claimed by trainer M. Reid still riding an 0-fer the meet; retains “Cowboy” Hamilton services who will certainly never again forget one mile races at Lrl go to the second wire (re: R3 on Apr. 1)            

Race 6 is OFF THE TURF

  1. #7 – Carolina Dreams (8-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Turf would have been nice but fast track record isn’t too shabby (19:3-7-3); previous to facing N1x at Pen, hit the board in 3 straight locally v. $5k foes
  2. #3 – Stormy Salute (5-1): Makes third start after S. Lake claim who obviously planned on a ’17 turf campaign; since that’s on hold he should take advantage of short field as last victory came at this level  
  3. #4 – Vale Ridge (10-1): Late running style requires some pace help which might be hard to find in a short field; J. Torres who guided this mare to victory two back is back in the irons  

Race 7

  1. #1 – Love Rules (5-2): Has faced some of the local heaviest hitters while getting minor shares; hasn’t seen Winners’ Circle since 2015 but gets best chance today
  2. #6 – Gavin Streetsense (5-1): Fresh off romping against $16kN2L and claimed by trainer L. Gaudet (23% 1st off claim), may take back off what could be a torrid pace; apprentice C. Carrasco has guided 2 of 3 mounts for Gaudet to Winners Circle
  3. #5 – Supervisor (10-1): Continues to answer every bell as connections continue to challenge him stepping up in class once again, third race after layoff; should get great stalking trip in hopes of a pace meltdown  

Race 8 is OFF THE TURF

  1. #7 – Stalk (4-1): Appropriately named as it fits his running style which should be perfect in here with plenty of early speed to get leg weary in deep stretch; adds Blinkers in hopes of getting diploma; was runner-up in last as the 5th place finisher came back to break maiden yesterday
  2. #2 – Flankenstein (7-2): Gets a half furlong break in distance which might be short enough for jock to nurse her early speed home; class drop from $25k to $16kMCL helps as well
  3. #10 – English Tudor (8-1): Would have loved to see this one on turf based on bloodlines but will stick this English Channel colt due to second time blinkers angle

 

YESTERDAY’S NEWS

  • On Saturday April 1st at Laurel had 6 winners from the 9-race card (2 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $11.00 (1st race), $6.00 (2nd), $3.20 (4th), $16.00 (5th), $8.60 (7th) and $3.20 (8th). Of the suggested multi-race wagers hit the R1-R2 $2 DOUBLE for $20.60 (cost: $12). Top Selections in 2017 are 85 for 331 (25.68%). In 2016, Top Selections were 304 for 1,213 (25.02%).
  • BEST BET of the Day (38: 12-8-7; in 2016 127: 31-29-19) Barin (3rd race: 7-2 M/L; 5-2 PT) was outrun early and appeared not to care for the muddy surface and was never a threat while finishing 7th.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (35: 2-2-8; in 2016 124: 13-13-16) Alarming (9th race: 8-1 M/L; 8-1 PT) urged entering the turn, was four wide leaving the bend and was never a factor finishing 5th.