The GQ Approach – Laurel December 2
Mizz Money (#9) held off Vielsalm (in between) and Heath (#12) to win the Grade 3 Gallorette. Photo by Laurie Asseo.
The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park (w/ live racing every Friday, Saturday and Sunday throughout 2016; Post Time 12:30pm EDT), including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Jackpot Pick-5, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.
- Rainbow Pick 6: $1,990.69
- Super High 5: $751.08
- Late Pick 5: no carryover
BEST BET OF THE DAY
Race 3 / #7 – Tigers Bop (3-1)
LONGSHOT PLAY OF THE DAY
Race 1 / #1 – Spoiled by God (10-1)
- Race 1: $2 Double 1, 4, 11 w/ 1, 7 ($12)
- Race 3: $0.50 Pick-3 5, 7, 10 w/ 2, 4, 7 w/ 4, 9, 11 ($13.50)
- Race 5: $0.50 Pick-5 4, 9 w/ 2, 7 w/ 4, 5 w/ 3, 4 w/ 1, 13, 14 ($24)
- Race 8: $2 Double 3, 4 w/ 1, 13, 14 ($12)
[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]
- Number of races scheduled for turf: 4 (1st, 3rd, 5th and 7th)
- Weather: Mostly Sunny, highs in the low 50’s
- Projected condition of main track: FAST
- Projected condition of turf: FIRM
Race 1 is ON THE TURF
- #1 – Spoiled by God (10-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Ill-advised two turn start in latest but maybe the plan was to get more speed out of him early? Boasts best turf Brisnet# of this bunch; rallied to get Show purse v. similar two back when 5-wide at ¼ pole as runner-up was next out winner
- #4 – Red Hot Looks (9-5): First time in for Tag while making 11th career start; early foot and backs up badly on dirt, but racing on turf today
- #11 – Leroy Brown (3-1): House Horse was a Trainer Scratch out of same condition on Nov. 26; maybe it had something to do with the 4f published workouts on Nov. 19th AND Nov. 20th?! First start since mid-August; cuts back to turf sprint after 3 routes
- #2 – Resurgence (3-5): House Horse Part 2; 5 years ago paid a cool $1.35 mil for his guy; 8 races later he’s earned just under $65k… Ouch! Never OTB @ Lrl (5:3-1-1) but gotta be leery of third straight drop (to $5k) in spite of impressively winning last two v. $25k and $10k Claimers
- #7 – Rumblin Kyle (8-1): Appears trainer G. Capuano hasn’t attracted any takers for this 4 y.o. gelding either; won 3 races back off layoff and multi-level drop; has stayed at this level picking smaller checks
- #1 – Hush Hush Henny (6-1): After starting career 1 for 17, he’s won 2 in a row while increasing those speed figs slowly but surely the past 4 races; will try to steal it on the front end
Race 3 is ON THE TURF
- #7 – Tigers Bop (3-1): *** BEST BET *** Begging for a 5f turf event but Lrl only has 5½f as his last 3 turf sprints running lines are nearly identical, looking like a winner until the last 50 yards; drops back to $16k MCL, others lack early foot so get the cap & gown ready!
- #5 – Just the Zip (9-2): Came up 1½ lengths short of catching top pick here for the runner-up spot in latest; second start under W. Potts conditioning giving J. Toledo a leg up (they’re 4 for 10 at the meet) and drops again makes him a player
- #10 – Major Anthem (7-2): Yikes! 0 for 27 yet a cash cow has he gets a small check every time; ran into traffic in latest when dropped to this level; miracles do happen
- #7 – I Just Wanna Win (5-2): Has won 4 of her last 5 starts but 3 of those came over a year ago; won latest back in May when coming off 6 month layoff; so why not again here at same level?
- #2 – Delightful Erin (10-1): Pretty much been facing open company all year; third race after layoff even though first two haven’t been much; could surprise versus this group used to facing restricted foes
- #4 – Fortutious (8-5): Prx shipper gets the Morning Line favoritism nod due to dropping a few levels; nice record (8:3-2-1) at this distance but didn’t hit the board in only previous Lrl start in Jan. when 10th as second choice in AlwN1X going 6f
Race 5 is ON THE TURF
- #9 – Hibernia Fire (6-1): Has proven he cannot cut it in MSW but when in for this $25k MCL 3 other times has missed by a head and a close 4th twice; jock switch to M. Franklin carries extra incentive as he sits on 999 career wins
- #4 – Bourbon and Beer (15-1): Makes just 5th career start and has improved speed figs in each; showed late interest in turf sprint at same level after showing early speed going tow turns; gets 5th different rider, this one best suited for turf
- #11 – Gin Fuzz (5-2): Insanity… doing same thing yet expecting different results; 0 for 14 with 6 runner-up finishes when PT fav. in 5 of them makes one wonder if he’ll ever get to Winners’ Circle?! In for Tag for just 3rd time in career… was, you guessed it, second as fav. in other two
- #2 – Staff Sgt Reckless (7-5): Slick move on trainer H. McMahon part finding this OC$16k race for this filly who won v. OC$25k in latest; should get a nice stalking trip behind a trio of early speed
- #7 – Moonlight Basin (7-2): These Cby shippers have competed quite well @ Lrl as she was a game second when 9-1 in local debut at this level; continues to gradually improve speed figs with each start
- #1 – Abracadabra (10-1): Not so good in first off J. Reynolds claim versus similar; adds blinkers which trainer gets 24% winners with that equipment change
Race 7 is ON THE TURF
- #4 – Cara’s Nay Nay (3-1): Pen shipper familiar w/ travelling I-83 looks for natural Hat Trick @ Lrl for 22% trainer; latest win came at v. same open claimers; don’t expect 3-1 come Post Time
- #5 – Lenape Rim (9-2): Only mount on the card for Prx/Pen jock T. Conner who has 2 wins at meet from 6 starts; comes off short layoff and is a threat to go gate-to-wire as rest of the field lacks early foot
- #2 – Blake’s Magic (4-1): Usually struggles to finish strong when stretched out to two turns but drop in class may help remedy that; trainer J. Ness likely is daggling this carrot trying to unload as turf season comes to a close?
- #3 – Bull Ensign (6-1): Nice effort to be runner-up in first race after layoff v. similar in here; if not for some traffic, may have been the winner; will need pace help and should get it from the trio on the far outside
- #4 – Beeks (5-2): Has flashed brilliance on two other occasions but has also been up the track; will need to fight off the ML fav. #9 early on in hopes of getting gate-to-wire score
- #1 – Ghost Bay (5-1): First start for new owner & trainer as this colt was part of late Howard M. Bender estate sold at Kee Nov. auction for $60k; should like getting back on dirt to provide instant dividends as speed figs have been constantly better than today’s foes
- #14 – Heavenly Haze (8-1): Should have only 1 or 2 foes tops to fend off in early stages; makes second start off claim for trainer J. Maldonado who gets 22% to Winners’ Circle in this situation
- #13 – Slide by You (12-1): Out of jail after being claimed in poor effort when 28-1 going one mile; best efforts have been on an off track but today will be fast; encouraged that T. McCarthy sign on which is a huge upgrade in the irons
- #1 – Fleetwood Star (12-1): Though 0 for 4 at distance, cut back from 7f in latest may help along w/ A. Cintron back in the irons
- On Monday November 28th at Laurel had 5 winners from the 9 race card (2 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-off of $3.00 (4th race), $7.00 (5th), $5.40 (6th), $9.20 (7th) and $7.60 (9th). Year-to-date Top Selections are 276 for 1,096 (25.18%).
- BEST BET of the Day (115: 29-25-16) Stormin Babe (5th race: 5-2 M/L; 2-1PT) four deep around the turn, rallied outside horses but came up a half-length short of catching the winner to return $3.20 to PLACE and $2.60 to SHOW.
- LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (112: 11-13-16) Shinobi (8th race: 12-1 M/L; 30-1 PT) positioned mid-pack throughout, was between rivals turning for home, ducked to the rail at the 1/8 pole but failed to sustain a bid when crowded and weakened finishing 9th.