The GQ Approach – Laurel July 24

by | Jul 24, 2016 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing, Racing

Mizz Money (#9) held off Vielsalm (in between) and Heath (#12) to win the Grade 3 Gallorette. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park (Friday-Sunday, with twilight racing each Friday), including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers. 

GQ himself is taking the summer off.  In his stead will be a rotating band of ‘cappers.  

CARRYOVERS

  • Rainbow Pick 6: $4,309.00
  • Super High 5: $1,050.00

BEST BET OF THE DAY

Race 3 / #7 – Cruise More (5-2)

LONGSHOT PLAY OF THE DAY

Race 2/ #4 – Gunner Road (12-1)

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Multi-race wagers[/su_heading]

    • Race 1 $2 Double: 1, 4, 7 w/ 4, 6 ($12.00)
    • Race 2 $0.50 Pick 3: 4, 5, 6 w/ 7 w/ 3, 4, 6 ($4.50)
    • Race 7 $2 Double: 1, 3, 8 w/ 3, 4, 11 ($18.00)

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

  • Number of races scheduled for turf: 6
  • Weather: Mostly sunny, hot
  • Projected condition of main track: FAST
  • Projected condition of turf: FIRM

RACE 1

  1. #7 Compliance Officer (5/2) – Runner is the only one here dropping in company – from $25k to $15k – and looks to be the main speed; Lynch in the irons off four-win day
  2. #4 Lieutenant Dale (10/1) – Heavy lift here, but this runner’s two turf tries to date aren’t bad – including one win – and trainer-jock are 5-for-12
  3. #1 Young Dude (3/1) – That was an oddly run race last time, and this runner emptied out late but still beaten just two lengths; just missed against similar three back, and third off layoff here

RACE 2

  1. #4 Gunner Road (12/1) – Upset special? Runner steadied out of contention entering the turn last out, then showed an entirely new dimension by rallying late to be a near-miss second; winner just missed against similar yesterday
  2. #6 Sabbiadoro (8/5) – Formful speedster hung on gamely last while a closer came and picked up the pieces
  3. #5 Rafidain (3/1) – Fire sale in progress on Shadwell runner; easy win last out and gets Carrasco aboard

 

RACE 3

  1. #7 Cruise More (5/2) – Dale Capuano trainee’s been cleaning up against similar this season with three straight wins; don’t judge last too harshly: fourth-place finisher won next out at SAR with a 92 Beyer
  2. #4 Intrepid Citizen (9/2) – Rallied in a strangely run race to get the money last out, and show horse followed with a win; two-back third wasn’t bad, closing on a speed-favoring day, and three-back race produced three next-out winners
  3. #2 Heiko (10/1) – PEN shipper may make the early running, and may be by himself doing it; enters with two straight wins vs. lesser

 

RACE 4

  1. #3 Birgetta Rose (8/1) – Thrashed maidens at first asking, then was clobbered leaving the gate before rushing up to lead and then tiring; showing three works in the interim
  2. #4 Southern Girl (2/1) –– $775k Tapit filly has been away since a good third at Keeneland in October – fourth-place finisher that day returned to win a stake next out; worked a bullet July 18
  3. #6 She’ll Do It (5/2) – Game try last when she won the speed duel but set the race up for late runner to get the money; dialing back to 6 furlongs an asset for a horse connex have long thought well of

 

RACE 5

  1. #1 Dancing Lucy (5/2) – McMahon trainee has won two straight on the lawn and shown the ability to lead or stalk and pounce; rail post likely means sending; S. Russell in the irons
  2. #7 Purnata (3/1) – Bad news: runner is 0-for-8 on the lawn; good news: she’s been second or third seven times and has never sprinted; figures to be running late with some speed in front of her
  3. #3 More Stormyweather (6/1) – Added half-furlong from PIM sprint should help; Magill trainee will be coming late under Karamanos

 

RACE 6

  1. #3 Mojo’s Golden Hawk (7/2) – OK try at long odds in first turf route try; place-show horses returned to be one-two against that level
  2. #12 Patriot Saint (8/1) – Expecting an improved effort here on second off a layoff and like that Carrasco stays aboard; nearly took a tumble in last when clipping heels in mid-stretch
  3. #7 So Quiet (5/1) – Gamely chased last out on a speed-favoring day to be a clear second

 

RACE 7

  1. #1 Struth (3/1) – Dead game effort last out after a four-wide trip; lightly raced sort working through his conditions; tactical runner may find himself on or very near the early lead
  2. #3 Cho Time (6/1) – Carrasco comes aboard, and this runner has winning efforts to run back to; all three to run back from last won next out
  3. #8 Blu Moon Ace (5/2) – Laid waste to N1X field last out, though not sure how good a group that was; like top choice here, a lightly raced sort with plenty of upside

 

RACE 8

  1. #3 Coastal Sea (4/1) – Ultra-impressive debut whipping around the field to win easily at first asking; Keefe barn red-hot right now
  2. #11 Eleusis (15/1) – Not sure what’s happened in last two, but three-back effort was a good one; British-bred did best overseas work sprinting; last call for this runner
  3. #4 Summer Frock (4/1) – Formful runner gave it the old college try last out, never getting a break, as no sooner did she dispose of one rival than another came to take her on; three straight solid efforts

 

RACE 9

  1. #9 Elusive Speed (6/1) – Ness runner might get the jump on rivals here from the outside; good try last out (though DQed), and winner of that race repeated against PA-bred allowance foes
  2. #3 Porte Cochere (6/1) – First time for this runner in the Magee barn, which has been uncharacteristically scuffling of late; rallied smartly to win last out, and though no winners yet from that race, all four to run back have been in the money; Prado remains aboard
  3. #7 Ring of Truth (5/2) – Nice rally while wide in last, and a rival she bested won next out; not sure she’ll get the pace she needs, however