The GQ Approach – Laurel July 2

by | Jul 2, 2016 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing, Racing

Mizz Money (#9) held off Vielsalm (in between) and Heath (#12) to win the Grade 3 Gallorette. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park (Friday-Sunday, with twilight racing each Friday), including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers. 

GQ himself is taking the summer off.  In his stead will be a rotating band of ‘cappers.

CARRYOVERS

  • Rainbow Pick 6 (20-cent base): $11,832.66
  • Pick 5: $2,750.85
  • Super High 5: $653.85

BEST BET OF THE DAY

Race 6 / #2 – Mail Order Groom (5-2)

LONGSHOT PLAY OF THE DAY

Race 7 / #1 – Field Sense (10-1)

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Multi-race wagers[/su_heading]

    • Race 4: $0.50 Pick-4: 1, 4, 5 w/ 4, 11 w/ 2 w/ 1, 11 ($6)
    • Race 9: $2 Double:  3, 4, 9 w/ 1, 5, 7 ($18)

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

  • Number of races scheduled for turf: 6
  • Projected condition of main track: FAST
  • Projected condition of turf: FIRM

RACE 1

  1. #6 Jacoby J (9-2) – In the land of the blind, etc. Repeated failures at the level notwithstanding, a decent effort last out and figures to be main speed here; like that CT ace Montano comes in
  2. #3 Pocket High (2-1) – It took eight races to figure, but sprinting looks like what he wants to do; last place finisher from last won next out
  3. #7 Outfielder (7-5) – Rallied stoutly but couldn’t catch Pocket High last out; McCarthy remaining in the irons a plus

RACE 2

  1. #2 My Jersey Boy (6-1) – Fishing? Probably, but that was a dead-game try last out after a wide journey when second (though DQed) by a half to Seventy Niner who returned yesterday to repeat against better
  2. #7 Sabbiadoro (5-2) – Formful speedster has won last two by combined 14 lengths; gets to eyeball other speed runners inside of him
  3. #6 Gem Twist (4-1) – Lynch trainee figures to wait out early speed types, pounce; has won two of last three and is two-for-four on a fast main track

RACE 3

  1. #2 Runaway Dude (6-5) – Gee, that chalk sure is tasty; repeat of first two probably good enough here, and note he was less than two lengths behind Sabbiadoro, who won next two, last out
  2. #7 Slews Love (8-1) Eubanks trainee took the scenic tour of the racetrack last out – rail to far outside and back in; F. Lynch gets on board and looks for a cleaner run
  3. #6 Tempietto (8-5) – Failed as favorite last time and was nine behind Sabbiadoro two back

RACE 4

  1. #1 Daylight Ahead (5-1) – Disastrous trip cost H. McMahon trainee all chance last out in the Stormy Blues, which has produced a next-out winner; cleaner one here probably good enough, though rail slot a concern
  2. #5 Tap It Out (2-1) – Dials back from route distances; only legit turf sprint in 12-race career was a third at BEL on debut – that race produced 4 next-out winners
  3. #4 My Magician (3-1) – First time on the green for this daughter of Street Magician, some of whose offspring have thrived on the lawn; Trombetta with a positive ROI off long layoffs

RACE 5

  1. #4 West Coast Bias (4-1) – Proctor trainee has been firing a.m. bullets at Fair Hill; Unbridled’s Song filly’s dam earned $450k on the green
  2. #11 Sazerac Girl (9-2) – If it’s not one thing, it’s another for A. Merryman trainee who has encountered trip issues and rugged foes at every turn; return to sprints should help, and added half-furlong at LRL vs. PIM also a positive; 2 next out winners from last sprint
  3. #8 Seize the Ring (5-1) – Middling debut on the synthetic for Tiznow filly, but switches to G. Motion barn and tries a surface that several sibs have thrived on

RACE 6

  1. ***BEST BET*** #2 Mail Order Groom (5-2) – Slips in here after three wins in four races at lower level; F. Lynch stays aboard despite last-out claim; owns tactical advantage over It’s a Bang, has beaten I’ll Run the Show three straight
  2. #8 Elusive Breeze (8-1) – Like that T. Keefe claimed Elusive Charlie gelding back for $7,500 after losing for $5k; main speed here
  3. #1 It’s a Bang (3-1) – Been a while since ’13 Md. Million Nursery winner found the wire first, and closing style is no aid here, but he holds a class advantage over this crew

RACE 7

  1. ***LONGSHOT*** #1 Field Sense (10-1) – Barr trainee has won two of three, tries grass for first time; half-sib won 10 times, earned $450k on the lawn
  2. #11 Minor Legend (5-2) – Good effort when second last out; winner next up third in ALW; do wonder why F. Boyce not aboard here
  3. #8 Boon Companion (8-1) – Sillaman trainee won nicely over the strip in turf debut back in April; not inclined to judge even effort on PIM turf too harshly; added ground here a plus

RACE 8

  1. #8 Hidden Treat (3-1) – Good try to be third in the 5-furlong Stormy Blues, which has produced a next-out winner, last out; Lemon Drop Kid filly’s bloodlines say she wants a route of ground
  2. #6 Intrepid Alex (12-1) – Trainer G. Capuano’s runners are in the money 59% second off a layoff when going sprint to route; connex showing patience, and Carrasco stays aboard another positive
  3. #3 Koala Queen (9-5) – Nothing wrong with Delacour trainee (as is #8), who’s won two and been beaten just a couple in other pair, most recently just over two when sixth in the Hilltop, which has produced a next out winner; blinks go back on, and second time with Lasix – might be too good on best, but short price not enticing

RACE 9

  1. #9 Broken Bridle (7-2) – Anything like 7-2 is a square price on a runner who fits the profile; good try last out in a race that produced a next out winner, plus stakes show horse
  2. #4 Moon Virginia (10-1) – First two-turn try on the grass nothing to hang heads about; runner was hung out wide on both turns in a plus group for the level and stuck with it
  3. #3 Desert Princess (9-2) – T. McCarthy jumps ship – not a good thing – but Bailes trainee has won three straight while gradually climbing the ladder; Centeno in the irons no slouch

RACE 10

  1. #1 Delightful Storm (10-1) – Breeding says she wants more than 6 furlongs; for the first time in seven career starts, she gets it; does own a second against similar sprinting
  2. #5 Feisty Valentina (5-2) – M. Nevin trainee owns best figs and gets V. Carrasco in the irons – but she’s failed four times as fave, raising questions about will to win
  3. #7 Arc de Nua (5-1) – Higher priced Nevin runner lost all chance at the break sprinting last out but should appreciate added ground here; T. McCarthy hops aboard