The GQ Approach – Pimlico June 25

by | Jun 25, 2016 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing, Racing

Mizz Money (#9) held off Vielsalm (in between) and Heath (#12) to win the Grade 3 Gallorette. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Pimlico (28-day meet w/ live racing Thursday-Sunday through June 26th; Post Time 1:10pm EDT), including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6 ($6,065 carryover), 50 cent Jackpot Pick-5, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.


Race 2 / #1 – Pauline’s Pride (3-1)


Race 4 / #11 – Gursky (8-1)

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Multi-race wagers[/su_heading]

  • Race 1: $2 Double  2, 3, 4  w/ 1, 4 ($12)
  • Race 3: $1 Pick-3  7  w/ 11, 12 w/ 2, 3, 4 ($6)
  • Race 6: $0.50 Pick-4 5, 8, 9  w/ 1 w/ 2, 8, 13 w/ 3, 9 ($9)
  • Race 8: $2 Double  2, 8, 13 w/ 3, 6, 9 ($18)

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

* The entire Pimlico 9-race card is scheduled to be run on the TURF. Forecast for northwest Baltimore is for Mostly Sunny skies with high temps in the mid-80s and just a 10% chance of precipitation. The below selections are based on all nine races being run ON THE TURF.

Today is Mid-Atlantic Day – 9 turf races restricted to MD and VA breds

Race 1 is the VA-bred Maiden Lassie ON THE TURF

  1. #3 – Porte Cochere (5-2): Has improved on BRIS#s the past five starts but still seeks diploma; steps back up into MSW v. a group of weak foes     
  2. #2 – Grace Is Ready (2-1): Second start w/ blinkers should be better than first (8th by 12)… it has to be right?! Cut back in distance is logical after being near insane early pacesetters                 
  3. #4 – Start Winning (6-1): Could be Charlie Sheen’s favorite four-legged filly but not for long if she remains a maiden; tries turf in third career start, wanted it in debut but was washed off   


Race 2 is the MD-bred Preferred Please ON THE TURF

  1. #1 – Pauline’s Pride (3-1): *** BEST BET *** Got a perfect prep for today in turf sprint at this level as comment “5-wide ¼; belated” tells the story; stretches back out to two turns      
  2. #4 – Moral High Ground (8-1): Shuman has found this 7 year olds back class so the step up from A7500s is no problem; F. Boyce knows what makes her tick        
  3. #8 – De Marquee (8-5): Sagamore Farm runner ran out of gas as 4-5 PT favorite w/ E. Prado in the irons v. similar; may want early lead and try to lull foes to sleep w/ slow fractions


Race 3 is the Edward P. Evans Stakes ON THE TURF

  1. #7 – Rose Brier (3-5): Horizontal wager Free Space #1 on the card; race came up light on formidable VA-bred talent; should have it all his way from start to finish      
  2. #4 – Special Envoy (8-5): Has chased top pick unsuccessfully twice but had troubles in most recent one; could make a case for him to turn the tables as A. Delacour gives E. Prado a leg up     
  3. #3 – Willisville (20-1): Rank outsider won state bred allowance @ Grm on KY Derby Day carrying 150 lbs. exactly 370 days after his previous race; gets 32 lb. weight break and be best of the rest    


Race 4 is the Julio Garrido Invitational ON THE TURF

  1. #11 – Gursky (8-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Has done his best work on the dirt (10:3-4-1) while winless on turf (7:0-1-3), specifically at this distance (4:0-1-2) BUT recent form shows he’s on top of his game and wanting to stretch out again after game grass efforts sprinting          
  2. #12 – Enjoy the Show (6-5): Beaten PT fav. in last two when runner-up both times; makes third start after brief layoff; recorded best last race turf BRIS# (95) of this group by far; needs to shake recent case of “Second-itis”
  3. #10 – Zen’s Land (6-1): Fresh off J. Cibelli claim (19%) and dominating $40k MCL score on sloppy Lrl surface; second start w/ blinkers often results in another move forward


Race 5 is the All Brandy Stakes ON THE TURF

  1. #3 – Vielsalm (3-1): Missed by just a head in G3 Gallorette on Preakness Day when 76-1; could be a banner day for F. Boyce as she has a number of “live” mounts     
  2. #4 – Northern Smile (6-1): Will need to bring “A Game” as she takes a big step up in class; seeks redemption for poor showing in this event last year (8th by 8¾); view that first race after layoff has a prep for today  
  3. #2 – Candida H. (9-2): Took a short vacation to recharge batteries; worst defeat was by 3 lengths (12:4-5-2); “steadied” in only previous turf effort was a sprint but still managed Show spot; bred to go long and handle grass; gate to wire threat       


Race 6 is the White Oak Farm Stakes ON THE TURF

  1. #9 – Made Bail (6-1): A non-descript fifth in the PA Governor’s Cup @ Pen, but the likes of Take Cover, Spring to the Sky and Ben’s Cat are not in here    
  2. #5 – Exaggerated (7-5): Has quite the resume’ (8:5-0-2) and proved she’s special finishing just 2¼ behind Lady Shipman on Preakness Day but will take on the boys for the first time in her career
  3. #8 – Hooligan (10-1): Wesley Ward 0 for 5 at meet and this filly disappointed backers (3-1) last Fall when losing to #5 and #3 in Oakley; most recent effort @ Pim might have been a sign she likes this turf course (2:1-1-0)


Race 7 is the Find Stakes ON THE TURF

  1. #1 – Phlash Phelps (1-2): Horizontal wager Free Space #2 on the card; won this event last year and has blossomed into a local turf monster; there are no signs to suggest he’ll begin to regress    
  2. #2 – Eyeplayeveryday (6-1): Lone hope in here IMHO to upset top pick as he ran out of real estate coming up a half-length short to “Phlash” in last years Find, but that effort was a career best   
  3. #5 – Cruise More (12-1): Capuano has rejuvenated this 8 y.o. who loves to race in the Free State (aka MD); part of the Exacta in 5 of 7 on Pim grass; goes for natural Hat Trick   


Race 8 is the Nellie Mae Cox Stakes ON THE TURF

  1. #13 – Queen Caroline (4-1): After rough start of career on dirt she has stamped herself as a “turf horse” (3:1-2-0) graduating in most recent effort by duplicating her career best turf BRIS# (85) which gets it done v. this assembled group       
  2. #8 – For Finery (8-1): After getting second career win in first start of ’16, encountered traffic in turf sprint; stretches back out while needing to be better v. some same foes who have gotten the best of her in the past
  3. #2 – Magician’s Vanity (10-1): That 1 for 22 record sticks out like a sore thumb but just glance at the Chart Caller comments… this gal hasn’t had a clean or ground saving trip in her last 7 starts; having V. Carrasco as the pilot for first time can change that  


Race 9 is the Moth Ball Sprint ON THE TURF

  1. #8 – Boss Magician (2-1): Lone start came nearly 2 years ago (Aug. 18, ’14) @ Sar on turf (7th by 7½); gets easy spot for return as this race is restricted to VA-breds
  2. #3 – R. A. Superstar (20-1): Swinging for the fences here as lone start came 725 days ago (Jun. 30, ’14) @ Del on dirt; w/ Dynaformer (grandsire) and Royal Academy (dam sire) in bloodlines, turf is his future; just one work to prep for this but was a good one (:48 flat Bg 2/31 @ Del)         
  3. #6 – Church Monkey (6-1): Gelding makes third start in a span of 23 days, first on grass off H. McMahon claim out of $10k MCL; looks for immediate dividends as J. Toledo will try to wire these foes who lack early speed   



  • On Friday June 24th at Pimlico had 5 winners from the 8 race card (2 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-off of $7.80 (1st race), $6.20 (2nd), $5.00 (4th), $6.20 (5th) and $3.80 (7th). Note: Year-to-date Top Selections are 181 for 675 (26.81%).
  • BEST BET of the Day (74: 24-13-11) Risky Guy (5th race: 3-1 M/L; 2-1 PT) two wide around the turn and in the stretch, chased the pace, bumped with TOWN OF TOWNS inside the eighth pole then gave way to be third and returned $2.40 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (70: 7-8-11) Stilburnin (2nd race: 5-1 M/L; 2-1 PT) two wide behind horses on the turn, swung to the four path turning for home, brushed with L G CRASH approaching the eighth pole, closed between horses and narrowly prevailed by a neck to return $6.20 to WIN, $3.20 to PLACE and $2.20 to SHOW.    


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