The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park (live racing Friday-Sunday through May 8th; Post Time 1:10pm), including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6 ($1,782 carryover), 50 cent Jackpot Pick-5 ($2,895 carryover) as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.
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BEST BET OF THE DAY
RACE 6: #5 – Flash McCaul (5-2)
Time to Best Bet
LONGSHOT PLAY OF THE DAY
RACE 5: #5 – Hey Kid (12-1)
Time to Longshot
[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Multi-race wagers[/su_heading]
- Race 1: $2 Double 2, 7 w/ 2, 4 ($8)
- Race 3: 50 cent Pick-3 6, 9 w/ 3, 7, 8 w/ 5, 8, 10 ($9)
- Race 6: $0.50 Pick-4 2, 5 w/ 5, 8 w/ 1, 4 w/ 1, 5, 7 ($12)
- Race 8: $2 Double 4 w/ 1, 2, 5, 7 ($8)
[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]
* Laurel Park turf courses has not yet opened for the season. As far as condition of the main track… the forecast for the northern D.C. suburbs is for Mostly Cloudy skies with temps in the mid-50s and a 30% chance of precipitation in the late afternoon. The below selections are based on the main track condition being listed as “Fast.”
- #2 – Scattered Dreams (3-1): Only one in the field to have won at this 1 1/16 mile distance; stalking trip gets it done
- #7 – Ransom Paid (4-1): Has had many opportunities to get victory #3; earned career best Brisnet# in last effort
- #1 – My Jersey Boy (5-2): Beaten favorite two races back when 3rd behind top two picks in here; seeks first win on a “Fast” track (4:0-0-1)
- #4 – Vicious (6-1): Ignored (15-1) in local bow when showed late interest in first race in nearly a year; ran respectable on West Coast in MSW v. likes of ’15 KY Derby runner-up Firing Line and Prospect Park
- #2 – Hill Shadow (7-2): Earned a strong 88 Brisnet# in debut going 5½f, missing by a nose; Boyce/Graham combo win at 21% clip
- #6 – Fantasy Pain (8-1): $115k Mar. 2014 purchase made debut on grass @ Bel 11 months ago for Chad Brown; on sidelines since, resumed training 6 weeks ago for new trainer (M. Lerman)
- #9 – Drive At Nite (2-1): Making 11th career start (10:0-1-4); only runner in here dropping in class and had a rough last outing in mud
- #6 – Addones Lasthurrah (15-1): How ugly is this race when you give a 3rd time starter who has shown nothing in first two, sent off 136-1 in last at this level, a fighting chance simply because of jock/trainer combo is 2 for 3 at the meet
- #1 – Dr. Abramson (9-5): Hard to trust this one who has failed as odds-on favorite the past FOUR races! If MD had Exchange Wagering, I’d lay attractive odds
- #8 – Thats Cool Man (4-1): Lost all chance when “broke in tangle” as PT favorite @ Pen in latest effort; runner is used to getting out of gate quickly; encouraged that Carrasco stays aboard
- #3 – Quality Wise (4-1): Showed tons of potential early in racing career but hasn’t been able to get second win (19:1-4-4); runner-up in last when dropped to this N2L bottom level
- #7 – Not for Fun (3-1): Lukewarm M/L favorite is vulnerable (1 for 21)… then again so is the rest of this group; likes this distance (6:1-1-1)
- #5 – Hey Kid (12-1): $Longshot Play$ Taking a leap of faith as he last raced 9 months ago but connections protect him via Waiver Claiming rule and string of A.M. works ended w/ a bullet
- #10 – Around We Go (8-1): Hasn’t seen track in the afternoon since being claimed from S. Lake last summer @ Tim; has been a Cash Cow and likes Lrl (2:1-1-0); protected as well
- #8 – First Bid (4-1): McCarthy/Ness combo always needs to be respected, especially “first race after claim” angle (36%)
Race 6 – $75,000 Private Terms Stakes
- #2 – Flash McCaul (5-2): *Best Bet* Program’s 3rd choice was distant runner-up to M/L favorite (Marengo Road) four races back but addition of blinkers two back has really helped; part of Exacta in all six career races; first try at two-turns a plus too
- #5 – Charmed Victory (2-1): Has made a nice progression in each of his starts and will need to at least once more to get the “W” here; bloodlines suggest he’ll love going two turns
- #1 – Marengo Road (9-5): Had just enough gas left in tank to hold off Charmed Victory going one mile, extra 1/16th and potential speed dual w/ #7 could do him in late
- #5 – Mavericks Gun (3-1): Has back class that “Magic” Magee finally got him to revisit in third race after claim last time v. similar
- #8 – Hurricane Creek (8-1): Field has enough speed to insure quick pace and give this 7-year-old gelding a shot
- #9 – Special Congrats (20-1): Does best work around two turns, but this is a one turn mile; still has chance at a big price based on troubles encountered in past three efforts
Race 8 – $75,000 Caesar’s Wish Stakes
- #4 – Sophia’s Song (3-5): Private purchase after 6¼ length win @ GP in Dec. and turned over to TAP to condition and make her a superstar; this could be a stepping stone to KY Oaks
- #1 – Great Soul (9-2): Very professional looking win in the $75k Wide Country; stretches back out to one mile which so far looks to be her best distance
- #3 – In the Navy Now (8-1): Finally graduated in fifth start crushing a next out winner; was runner-up to Great Soul two back when that one got easy lead
- #5 – Grand Jaylea (12-1): Many in here have lost to Glorious Ride; this one did admirably in debut against her; barn 28% w/ nice ROI when sending runners a route first time
- #1 – Mary’s Legacy (5-2): One may scratch as 7lb. bug girl Francois named on both; #1 will try to stretch speed to one mile exiting maiden score; #1A is only runner in here dropping in class… after missing by a nose for $10k N2L
- #7 – All Mine (15-1): Gets Lasix for first time in her third career start; comment lines indicate she’s still trying to figure it out; like the fact Karamanos takes mount (3 for 10 w/ L. Albert’s runners)
- On Friday March 11th, Opening Day of the Spring Meet at Laurel Park had 5 winners from the 8 race card (3 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-off of $6.80 (1st race), $3.20 (2nd), $6.00 (3rd), $5.60 (5th) and $14.00 (8th). Of the suggested Multi-Race wagers hit the $2 DOUBLE in R1-R2 for $13.20 (cost: $8). Note: Year-to-date Top Selections are 62 for 224 (27.67%).
- BEST BET of the Day (25: 9-4-1) Outfielder (4th race: 7-2 M/L; 3-1 PT) off the pace and removed from the inside, angled five wide gathering momentum into the lane, made progress in mid-stretch then flattened out finishing nearly 6 lengths behind the top 2 and returned $4.80 to SHOW.
- LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (22: 1-1-4) Love to Prospect (3rd race: 10-1 M/L; 7-1 PT) went to the lead as expected, faced unwarranted pressure down the backstretch from 9-5 favorite who failed to keep pace entering the stretch but did enough damage to LSPOD as he weakened in the final furlong to finish 5th.