The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park (live racing Friday-Monday through Feb. 15th; Post Time 12:25pm), including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6 ($5,473 carryover), 50 cent Jackpot Pick-5 ($3,246 carryover), as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Multi-race wagers[/su_heading]

  • Race 1: $2 Double   1, 6, 7 w/ 6, 7, 8 ($18)
  • Race 3: $1 Pick-3   3, 4, 6 w/ 3, 5, 7 w/ 2, 4, 9 ($13.50)
  • Race 6: $0.50 Pick-4   3  w/ 2, 3, 7  w/ 3  w/ 2, 3, 5 ($4.50)
  • Race 8: $2 Double   3, 6 w/ 2, 5 ($8)

 

[su_box title=”SPECIAL PLAYS” style=”glass”]
  • Best Bet: Race 8 / #3 – Hot City Girl (9-5)
  • Longshot: Race 3 / #6 – Silent Critic (12-1)

 

[/su_box]

 

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

* Laurel Park has closed the turf courses for the season. As far as condition of the main track… the forecast for the northern D.C. suburbs is for Mostly Cloudy skies and cold with high temps in the teens with no chance of precipitation until after the races. The below selections are based on the main track condition being listed as “Fast.”

* * Frigid temps could mean a speed favoring surface * *

Race 1

  1. #1 – Hey Willie (3-1): We’ll see right off the bat how the track is playing if this guy can go gate to wire; 3rd race after layoff      
  2. #7 – J W Racer (2-1): Has had troubled trips in past three starts; Karamanos hops off #2 to be reunited w/ this gray gelding  
  3. #6 – Envision Success (5-2): An amazing late kick when breaking maiden for $25k MCL after showing nothing in two starts v. MSW; strong gallop on his own

 

Race 2  

  1. #6 – Love That (9-2): Got cooked in a speed duel 1st race off the bench when sent off as 9-5 PT fav.; that won’t happen today; also she could be a Valentine’s hunch bet; whatever angle works for you
  2. #8 – Read All About It (5-2): Hung out 6-wide on turn in latest effort, then soundly bumped at 1/8 pole yet ran on gamely to be runner-up       
  3. #3 – Oh What a Delite (7-2): Fits at this level but the 6 furlongs might be too short a distance as it takes her 3 furlongs to get into gear

 

Race 3  

  1. #6 – Silent Critic (12-1): $Longshot Play$ Chased the odds-on fav. in a 9 furlong event then had enough after one mile, which is today’s distance; big class drop and T. Ice gets J.L. Ortiz to ride  
  2. #4 – Consistency (7-2): Wiped out at the break in latest but showed heart with late rally to get SHOW purse
  3. #3 – Farmer Jones (6-1): This 9-year-old is only 2 for 35 in his career but both victories have come at today’s distance from just 12 outings; has a shot on the drop

 

Race 4         

  1. #3 – Dallas Cowgirl (7-2): Exits $100k stakes; is speed of the speed; jock’s only mount on card as jock/trainer win at 26% clip      
  2. #5 – Lovable Lady (2-1): Always well backed at the windows; never off the board in seven career efforts (7:2-2-3), but needs some pace help
  3. #7 – Blame It On Ed (4-1): Took care of a weaker group following SHOW effort at this level two races back v. a next out stakes winner

 

Race 5

  1. #9 – Andy Picked Me (9-5): Leery of class drop from $16k to $5k coming off 2 month layoff; was beaten favorite when last seen in the afternoon         
  2. #2 – Silver Bop (4-1): Gets a break in distance which should be enough to score gate to wire victory in 2nd race after layoff if top pick doesn’t bring “A Game”
  3. #4 – Cou Rouge (15-1): 2nd race off claim for connections who seem to win once in a Blue Moon… is there one tonight? Has competed against better than this group

 

Race 6  –  $75,000 Maryland Racing Media Stakes           

  1. #3 – Mei Ling (4-5): Pletcher runners usually do not come south from New York unless they plan on picking up a win purse; not to say they always do (9:3-2-0 at meet) but this gal boasts the top Brisnet Prime Power#  
  2. #1 – Pangburn (7-2): Dutrow still seeks first win of meet (0 for 25) but has a shot with this filly; has shown some early foot in the past to be a threat early and throughout the contest  
  3. #7 – Joint Return (8-1): Though “outrun” in her most recent race, she earned the 3rd best “last out” speed figure of this bunch; T. McCarthy and J. Servis teamed up for a win earlier in the meet  

 

Race 7  –   $75,000 John B. Campbell Handicap  

  1. #2 – Page McKenney (7-5): Can this gelding continue this amazing string of victories and/or runner-up finishes? Of course he can! He’s been nothing short of a machine and only a speed favoring track can derail him. He has also been entered in Monday’s G3 $250k General George
  2. #7 – Souper Lucky (8-1): Took a break from races and training in the Fall; work tab since resuming A.M. drills has been phenomenal; has won in 1st race off the bench in the past       
  3. #3 – Kobel (15-1): With sub-freezing temps expected on race day, the track could well be speed favoring which greatly increases this one’s chances to go gate to wire

 

Race 8  –  $300,000 G2 Barbara Fritchie Handicap

  1. #3 – Hot City Girl (9-5): *Best Bet* NFL network fans will relate to this… BOLD PREDICTION: This gal will set a new track record for seven-furlongs, which is 1:20.95, in gate to wire fashion        
  2. #6 – Dancing House (5-1): Any runner who can be runner-up to La Verdad, 2015 Eclipse Award winner, deserves a shot no matter where she lands in her next race… which is here        
  3. #2 – Clothes Fall Off (8-1): Visually impressive lately with a running style that indicates she’ll get the additional distance; McLaughlin turns to local jock (J. Toledo) to pull the upset         

 

Race 9  

  1. #2 – Fifth Amendment (5-2): Not invoking my 5th… like that fact this one should be on the lead early w/o much pressure; gate to wire this time after failing as 3-5 fav. v. same     
  2. #5 – Maryland Mystique (3-1): Drops back in for a tag first time since being claimed by M. Eppler 4 races back; has made a living on the grass, but has hit the board in 3 for 4 fast track tries            
  3. #3 – Racyn With Gracyn (4-1): Though 0 for 9 at this distance, she missed by a nose in last effort; Pimentel stays aboard     

 

YESTERDAY’S NEWS

  • On Friday February 12th at Laurel Park had 5 winners from the 8 race card (2 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-off of $4.20 (2nd race), $7.40 (4th), $13.40 (5th), $4.60 (6th) and $16.40 (8th). Note: Year-to-date Top Selections are 55 for 190 (28.94%).
  • Track Bias: To date in 2016, 34 runners (8 – 5½f; 13 – 6f; 5 – 7f; 3 – one mile; 3 – 1 1/16 miles; 2 – 1 1/8 miles) have gone gate-to-wire at Laurel Park from 190 races. Note: Though the local temperatures never went above the freezing mark, which one would think the main oval dirt surface would be hard as a rock and favor early speed, but it did not on Friday as not one winner from the eight-race card went gate-to-wire.
  • BEST BET of the Day (21: 9-3-0) Scattered Dreams (5th race: 7-2 M/L; 5-1 PT) prompted the pace two wide and gamely chased the winner through the stretch, losing by a length to be runner-up and returned $6.40 PLACE and $4.00 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (18: 0-1-4) Perigee Moon Slide (3rd race: 10-1 M/L; 5-1 PT) bumped CLASS TERMS when coming out at the break, steadied when shut off along the rail by PRECABIDA near the five eighths pole, raced in the two path between horses on the turn, swung to the five path entering the stretch and flattened out outside horses unable to keep pace with the top two finishers to return $3.20 to SHOW.
Long-time racing fan and analyst Gary Quill brings his ‘capping insights to The Racing Biz. Follow him on Twitter @HorseRacingNut.