The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park (live racing Friday-Monday through Feb. 15th; Post Time 12:25pm), including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Jackpot Pick-5, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Multi-race wagers[/su_heading]

  • Race 1: $2 Double   2, 3, 7 w/ 2, 5, 7 ($18)
  • Race 3: $1 Pick-3   3, 5, 7 w/ 2, 7, 9 w/ 4, 9, 11 ($13.50)
  • Race 5: $0.50 Pick-4   4, 9, 11  w/ 3, 8  w/ 4, 5  w/ 3, 6, 7 ($18)
  • Race 7: $2 Double   1, 4, 5 w/ 3, 6, 7 ($18)

 

[su_box title=”SPECIAL PLAYS” style=”glass”]
  • Best Bet: Race 1 / #7 – Flatter’s Secret (2-1)
  • Longshot: Race 8 / #7 – Lord Aislin (10-1)
[/su_box]

 

 

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

* Laurel Park has closed the turf courses for the season. As far as condition of the main track… the forecast for the northern D.C. suburbs is for Mostly Sunny skies with temps in the upper-40s and no chance of precipitation. The below selections are based on the main track condition being listed as “Fast.”

* * * * Today’s card only has 8 races * * * *

Race 1

  1. #7 – Flatter’s Secret (2-1): *Best Bet* Let’s all get to our Super Bowl parties early after watching this one who has the back class to step up v. open company; loves Lrl (6:4-1-0)      
  2. #2 – Sweets Galore (5-2): Invader from Pen makes Lrl debut for T. Kreiser (22%) who brings regular jock A. Rodriguez in just for this mount
  3. #3 – Goldiebuxx (8-1): Regardless of how ugly last looks, C. Gonzalez 1st race after claim (29%) is a must use

 

Race 2  

  1. #2 – Shouk (7-2): Had traffic issues in 1st off C. Frock claim when stepped up from $5k to $16k N2L and showed promise w/ addition of blinkers          
  2. #5 – Stormy Invasion (5-1): Has top Brisnet Prime Power# in spite of stepping up in class after disappointing run v. $5K N2L; gets the win via gate-to-wire trip       
  3. #7 – Gottagetamoveon (5-1): Blinkers off this gelding whose been away since June ’15; lost last two races by combined 91 lengths but v. much better than this group

 

Race 3  

  1. #3 – Atrous (5-1): Owner/trainer M. Dilger (2:1-1-0 at Lrl) ships in from NY with one he wishes he hadn’t spent $62k on 2 years ago; just 3 starts in past 18 months; huge drop hoping to unload or steal a purse?  
  2. #7 – Sliding Lady (7-2): Based on speed figs she basically runs the same race every time; this time it should be good enough to graduate
  3. #5 – Purnata (3-1): Her eighth career start will be her first on a fast, natural dirt surface; 3rd race after layoff; has been bridesmaid the past two

 

Race 4         

  1. #9 – Boon Companion (6-5): Ran into a surprising 1st timer who blew the socks off competition as this one was second best; was claimed out of race by Magee (39% when drops off claim)
  2. #2 – Dubious Intent (9-5): Wheels right back at this level after leading every step except the final ones last outing; top one might be too tough
  3. #7 – Saint Eddie (6-1): This colt has the look of a lifetime maiden but someone needs to complete the Trifecta and he fits the bill         

 

Race 5

  1. #9 – Twenty Percent (4-1): Got used up early v. open $11k Claimers; G. Brooks gets to Winners Circle at 29% clip when dropping runners multiple class levels       
  2. #11 – Parseghian (15-1): Been double-digit odds since being claimed 5 races back; been facing open $5k Claimers; faces beaten claimers today; Mejias needs to let other speed go and take back
  3. #4 – Cop a Tude (8-1): A rarity here… G. Motion runner entered for $5k tag on big drop; typically these get handed off to another trainer; 7-wide on turn and traffic in last two might be reason for miserable showings

 

Race 6           

  1. #3 – Time to Spare (9-5): Takes appropriate drop to be one to beat in here; has hit the board in all four fast dirt track starts
  2. #8 – Better Way (3-1): What an estate sale bargain ($3,500) this one has been; toss turf tries and she’s right there in every race; cuts back in distance and drops a level  
  3. #6 – Humint (4-1): Carrasco lands here instead of #5; F. Allen has been woeful 1st race after claim (3%) but catches weak field stepping up while “in jail” (i.e. the 30 days after claim)

 

Race 7  

  1. #5 – Sallisaw (1-1): NY shipper for K. McLaughlin (2:0-1-0 at Lrl) was 4th in G1 Hopeful last Summer; 3rd race of sophomore campaign after two in-the-money finishes @ Aqu in minor stakes sprinting; Achilles Heel might be the one mile distance         
  2. #4 – It’s the Journey (7-2): Will see a lot of his MD-bred gelding over the next few years in state bred stakes; needs pace help to catch top pick  
  3. #1 – Flash McCaul (5-2): Needs to overcome “2nd-itis” (5:1-4-0); will be tough today but stretching back out to one mile will certainly help

 

Race 8

  1. #7 – Lord Aislin (10-1): $Longshot Play$ Just three career starts but has improved on his speed figures in each race; ran behind Dubious Intent (#2 in R4 today); that one running at same level might be a good indicator of how “Lord” will run; positive jock switch to Toledo          
  2. #3 – Search Warrant (9-5): Third straight class drop for fourth career start; owner/trainer Trombetta gives 7lb. bug girl Francois a shot; has recorded top Brisnet speed figure        
  3. #6 – Cold (5-1): Searching for that runner who made a nice late run in debut for $40k here; Houghton wisely removed blinkers after adding them in 2nd start; the difference is night and day         

 

YESTERDAY’S NEWS

  • On Saturday February 6th at Laurel Park had 8 winners from the 9 race card (3 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-off of $15.40 (1st race), $7.40 (2nd), $8.00 (3rd), $3.00 (4th), $4.00 (6th), $14.00 (7th), $8.80 (8th) and $4.00 (9th). Of the suggested Multi-Race wagers hit the $2 DOUBLE in R1-R2 for $75.20 (cost: $18), the $2 DOUBLE in R8-R9 for $25.20 (cost: $18) and the 50 cent Pick-4 in R6-R9 for $115.20 (cost: $18). Note: Year-to-date Top Selections are 45 for 166 (27.11%).
  • Track Bias: To date in 2016, just 30 runners (8 – 5½f; 9 – 6f; 5 – 7f; 3 – one mile; 3 – 1 1/16 miles; 2 – 1 1/8 miles) have gone gate-to-wire at Laurel Park from 166 races. Note: Saturday saw two (2) runners go gate-to-wire over a fast track, both were at 6 furlongs.
  • BEST BET of the Day (18: 7-2-0) I Like to Whim (8th race: 9-2 M/L; 5-2 PT) stalked the pace four wide, was under a hustling ride mid turn, shifted out a bit wider for the drive and gave willing chase to the wire but could not catch the winner, settling to be runner-up and returned $3.80 to PLACE and $3.20 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (15: 0-1-3) Venturous Gal (9th race: 15-1 M/L; 22-1 PT) dueled three deep down the backstretch, held a short lead entering the stretch, chased the winner and faded missing SHOW money by a neck.
Long-time racing fan and analyst Gary Quill brings his ‘capping insights to The Racing Biz. Follow him on Twitter @HorseRacingNut.