The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park (live racing Friday-Monday through Feb. 15th; Post Time 12:25pm), including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Jackpot Pick-5, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Multi-race wagers[/su_heading]

  • Race 1: $2 Double  1, 6, 7 w/ 2, 3, 6 ($18)
  • Race 3: $1 Pick-3   2, 3, 4 w/ 1, 4, 5 w/ 5, 8, 9 ($13.50)
  • Race 6: $0.50 Pick-4   1, 3, 8  w/ 1, 6 w/ 7, 9 w/ 4, 7, 9 ($18)
  • Race 8: $2 Double  7, 9, 6 w/ 4, 7, 9 ($18)

 

[su_box title=”SPECIAL PLAYS” style=”glass”]
  • Best Bet: Race 8 / #9 – I Like to Whim (9-2)
  • Longshot: Race 9 / #7 – Venturous Gal (15-1)
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[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

* Laurel Park has closed the turf courses for the season. As far as condition of the main track… the forecast for the northern D.C. suburbs is for Mostly Cloudy skies with temps in the mid-40s and no chance of precipitation. The below selections are based on the main track condition being listed as “Fast”.

Race 1

  1. #7 – Pet Gold (5-2): Catches a weak $15k Claimer for 3-yr-old fillies field that’s basically a N2L; 1st race since graduating for $16k 3 months ago      
  2. #6 – Xtra Blue (6-1): Drops down after two efforts for $25k v. winners who were tougher than these in here today
  3. #1 – Convoyarie (9-2): Searching for appropriate class level after breaking maiden 3 back for $16k; tries open $15k again after some interest in last outing

 

Race 2  

  1. #3 – Cooking Up a Storm (5-2): One to beat; looks to repeat at this Alw7500S level and make it a natural Hat Trick          
  2. #6 – Compulsive (15-1): Will need to run a lifetime best as he steps up from $5k Claimers but faces a group of Closers; should get an easy lead w/ longshot chance to go gate to wire       
  3. #2 – Pop Joe (8-1): Away 6 weeks without a published workout since but not up for sale so no worries there; solid record v. better sprinting w/ 2 of 5 at this distance

 

Race 3  

 

  1. #2 – Good Chemistry (3-1): 1 of 5 runners in here making 1st start after claim; destroyed open $5k claimers at Prx; loves this distance (29: 10-3-4)  
  2. #4 – Thunder Lord (5-2): There are three certainties in this world… death, taxes and Magee 1st race after claim (29%) being over bet; this one steps up just a few days from getting out of jail    
  3. #3 – Overthespeedlimit (10-1): Drops a few class levels in 2nd race off claim for A. Aguirre (20%); 1 of 2 w/ early foot going long; needs smart ride from X-man

 

Race 4         

  1. #4 – Moonspell (8-1): Got caught up in a speed duel which cooked him and foe; McCarthy takes reins for 1st time and can come off the pace as this field has plenty of early foot
  2. #5 – Richie’s Rich (4-5): Have seen much better prohibitive M/L favorites on paper; this NY shipper failed to get 1st career win in 3 other trips to the Free State; runner-up in 5 of 10 starts
  3. #1 – Zapata (12-1): 0 of 7 and hasn’t been to the track in the afternoon since late June ’15; like the work pattern leading up to today         

 

Race 5

  1. #8 – Singing My Way (9-2): Only runner in here who has been facing open claimers and competing in Starter Allowance events; drops into $5k beaten claimers and gets back to two-turns (18:8-4-1)       
  2. #5 – Special Congrats (20-1): Looking at PPs he does his best work going two-turns and was compromised in most recent; you’ll get more than 20-1 on him; worth a shot    
  3. #9 – Way of the Warrior (4-1): Drops back to level he can win at now that he’s out of jail for C. Gonzalez 2nd race after claim (27%)

 

Race 6           

  1. #1 – Mongolian King (8-5): Only entry on card for T. Morley; NY shipper traveled to Lrl twice before trying to graduate only to lose to next out winners; no doubt he’ll be someone’s Best Bet today, thanks Capt. Obvious!
  2. #3 – Alajmal (6-1): Nice try in only second career dirt start for this 4 time winning steeplechase runner, including a G1 who qualifies for maiden status on the flats; still might need more than a mile  
  3. #8 – To Blave (9-2): Looked like a different horse when runner-up w/ addition of blinkers 1st off the shelf; extra furlong today will help chances to get 1st career victory

 

Race 7  

  1. #1 – Gursky (9-5): Denied third straight victory in 3-horse photo; can makes amends as Brisnet#s continue to climb         
  2. #6 – Island Cat (15-1): Will get the early lead, but has been stopping; 3rd race after layoff and addition of blinkers gives hope for gate-to-wire score at a price    
  3. #2 – Hauler (3-1): Could keep the #6 from stealing this event; goes for 4th straight victory  

 

Race 8

  1. #9 – I Like to Whim (9-2): *Best Bet* Gets Lasix for 1st time in 3rd career start for G. Motion (24%); might be enough to turn the tables on #10          
  2. #7 – Mo d’Amour (4-1): One of two Pletcher NY shippers in here; still trying to find identity as she got buried in G2 going 9f then weakened going 6f in minor stakes      
  3. #6 – Hell of Afire (20-1): Never gets respect at the windows (lowest odds were 18-1 in 4 starts); troubled trip in last yet still earned a better Brisnet# than maiden win two back         

 

Race 9  

  1. #7 – Venturous Gal (15-1): $Longshot Play$ Traffic trouble in last yet still managed to get 4th at 38-1 v. behind the #9 and #10 in here; trainer wins at 22% clip 2nd time saddling runners       
  2. #4 – Starkers (9-5): Magee has lost patience w/ this one as she’s gone south since $25k claim; may find a way to get beat at this low level (18:1-7-2)         
  3. #9 – Little Kitten (5-2): Runner-up in most recent outing sets her up for win #2 here; not much in here to beat but she’s found ways to lose    

 

YESTERDAY’S NEWS

  • On Friday February 5th at Laurel Park had 5 winners from the 9 race card (4 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-off of $7.00 (2nd race), $12.60 (5th), $10.80 (6th), $3.80 (7th) and $4.80 (9th). Note: Year-to-date Top Selections are 42 for 157 (26.75%).
  • Track Bias: To date in 2016, just 29 runners (8 – 5½f; 8 – 6f; 5 – 7f; 3 – one mile; 3 – 1 1/16 miles; 2 – 1 1/8 miles) have gone gate-to-wire at Laurel Park from 157 races. Note: Friday saw just one (1) runner go gate-to-wire over a muddy track, that one being 5½ furlongs on the first race on the card.
  • BEST BET of the Day (17: 7-1-0) Rise to the Top (2nd race: 5-2 M/L; 5-2 PT) thought the value went out the door when the M/L favorite was scratched as well as another longshot runner reducing the field to five runners, but the public seemed to fall in love with two others, keeping this one’s odds at the M/L.  Broke outward to be off a beat slow, corrected and lagged off the early pace, was under a hustling ride mid-turn, swung five wide for the drive, closed determinedly under left handed rousing, forged to command late then edged clear while taken in hand at the wire to win by a length and return $7.00 to WIN, $3.40 to PLACE and $2.10 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (14: 0-1-3) Twisted Earl (7th race: 10-1 M/L; 5-1 PT) what was feared in this scenario came to fruition as #8 decided to duel this one for the lead as these two went 22 2/5 and 46 flat on a muddy track in this 7 furlong event. To no one’s surprises they “killed” one another as “Earl” faded to last (6th).
Long-time racing fan and analyst Gary Quill brings his ‘capping insights to The Racing Biz. Follow him on Twitter @HorseRacingNut.