The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park (live racing Friday-Monday through Feb. 15th; Post Time 12:25pm), including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Jackpot Pick-5 ($15,188 carryover), as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Multi-race wagers[/su_heading]

  • Race 1: $2 Double  1, 4, 7 w/ 4, 7 ($12)
  • Race 3: $1 Pick-3  2, 6, 8 w/ 4, 6, 8 w/ 2, 4, 7 ($13.50)
  • Race 6: $0.50 Pick-4   1, 3, 9  w/ 4, 7 w/ 1, 8 w/ 1, 2, 6 ($18)
  • Race 8: $2 Double   1, 7, 8 w/ 1, 2, 6 ($18)

 

[su_box title=”SPECIAL PLAYS” style=”glass”]
  • Best Bet: Race 2 / #7 – Rise to the Top (5-2)
  • Longshot: Race 7 / #4 – Twisted Earl (10-1)
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[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

* Laurel Park has closed the turf courses for the season. As far as condition of the main track… the forecast for the northern D.C. suburbs is for Partly Cloudy skies with temps in the low-40s and just a 5% chance of precipitation. The below selections are based on the main track condition being listed as “Fast.”

Race 1

  1. #4 – Habanero Gold (5-2): Had it pretty much all his way when stepped up from $5k to $10k beaten claimer; Cartagena dangles the carrot dropping him back to $5k but will be pressed today      
  2. #7 – C V Eis (4-1): Beaten fav. at this level last time when Carrasco (on #5 today) went to the lead and was hung wide in a 4-way speed duel; In K. Rengifo we trust?
  3. #1 – Grady (10-1): 3rd race after layoff where the progression from 1st to 2nd start was promising; another move forward gets him to Winners Circle for 1st time since Oct. ‘14

 

Race 2  

  1. #7 – Rise to the Top (5-2): *Best Bet* Claimed from Zayat for $15k last outing when runner-up as 2-5 PT fav. when bobbled at break and riders left foot came out of the irons, spotting field about 6 lengths in a 5½f event; strong rally and gallop out makes him one to beat            
  2. #4 – Serenready (4-1): CT shipper just missed in Lrl debut last outing at 13-1; A. Farrior calls on his “go to” rider (A. Bochachica) this time; this duo wins at 30% clip       
  3. #1 – Baleroom Dancer (10-1): This WV-bred filly won her debut for $16k here looking very professional w/ little urging as she passed the PT fav. in the stretch and stayed on

 

Race 3  

  1. #2 – Dancinwithdunkirk (4-1): This maiden beat N2L @ WO 3 back, but was DQ’d; runner-up in Lrl/dirt debut in last start when covering a lot of ground late; needs to be more forwardly placed 
  2. #6 – Pagan Power (3-1): Drops to lowest level for 8th career start; encouraged that McCarthy takes the reigns of this “House Horse” for Corrales as duo has won 7 of 20 (35%) over the past year       
  3. #8 – Henrys Way (10-1): Was in no hurry nor asked for much in 1st outing since Memorial Day @ Pim; w/ this field lacking early speed, he has shown some early foot so Toledo could try to go gate to wire

 

Race 4         

  1. #8 – Dreaming of Joey (5-2): Speed of the speed; no doubt he’s on the lead and should discourage other speed to give up early on; only mount on card for bug girl K. Francois (4 of 6 for Magee)
  2. #6 – Ore Pass (10-1): Seems to have abandoned that one-run, late kick style since returning from wasted trip to GP 3 back; can run down the tons of early speed in here if reverts back to it
  3. #4 – Chaotic Bull (8-1): Been awhile since he’s seen the Winner’s Circle, but usually picks up a check; consistent speed figs indicate he could spring the upset         

 

Race 5

  1. #2 – Pizmo Time (5-1): FTS by City Zip doesn’t show much zip in the published A.M. works but find it interesting that McCarthy lands here instead of staying on M/L fav. (#8)      
  2. #7 – Home Run Johnny (6-1): FTS by Grand Slam; has extensive work tab w/ plenty of bullets including final one (5f 1:01 2/5 from gate)    
  3. #4 – Supah Czech (10-1): FTS by Uncle Mo whose offspring have been precocious; M. Gorham scores w/ 18% MSW Firsters; like the evenly spaced works

 

Race 6           

  1. #9 – Elevated (3-1): Been facing better lately and gets favorite distance (6:3-0-1) but still seeks 1st trip to Lrl Winners Circle (0 for 9)      
  2. #3 – Negrito (6-1): Been away since mid-July but has been on a strict training schedule since beginning of Dec.; connections take advantage of Waiver Claiming Rule to protect him  
  3. #1 – Snow Leopard (9-5): Will try to make every pole a winning one just as he’s done in his past two efforts; last one was at this level

 

Race 7  

  1. #4 – Twisted Earl (10-1): $Longshot Play$ Catches a field void of early speed; this J. Robb trainee excels when he can get an uncontested lead as he should today (only exception is #8); cut back to 7f is ideal in this spot         
  2. #7 – Star Gazer (5-2): M/L fav. and likely odds on PT fav. have could be vulnerable based on needing layoff after each start and being offered for less than the $25k price tag  
  3. #8 – Hey Willie (12-1): The only other potential early speed in the race; giving him a shot just in case the LSPOD scratches, it leaves the race for this one to steal  

 

Race 8

  1. #1 – Sioux (5-2): NY shipper for M. Nevin was promising 3-year-old NY-bred in ’14 along w/ Samraat, was on the shelf nearly a year and continues to try to find that early form; beaten fav. in last when compromised at the break          
  2. #8 – Regal Soldier (8-1): Just 3 for 18 lifetime but all heart based on comment lines; may have been too close to the pace in last one; figuring F. Boyce will take back early today    
  3. #7 – Altar Boy (2-1): Bettors automatically throw $$$ on any Pletcher runner who ships into MD so they are always over bet and are far from a Best Bet (6:2-2-0)         

 

Race 9  

  1. #6 – Joey Cap (5-2): Could be a Carrasco/Nevin late Double as this NY-bred makes 3rd start after layoff; was runner-up when 6-5 PT fav. here in 2nd career start last Sept. for $25k tag        
  2. #1 – Tomo Chachi (8-1): Takes another class drop for 4th career start after chasing a number of nice ones; has steadily improved on Brisnet# in each start            
  3. #2 – Open Petition (8-1): Took action (2-1) in debut but had a wide trip while passing faders in the stretch; adds blinkers for second start and Toledo stays on  

 

YESTERDAY’S NEWS

  • On Monday February 1st at Laurel Park had 4 winners from the 8 race card (2 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-off of $11.60 (3rd race), $6.20 (5th), $3.40 (6th) and $9.00 (7th). Note: Year-to-date Top Selections are 38 for 148 (25.67%).
  • Track Bias: To date in 2016, just 28 runners (7 – 5½f; 8 – 6f; 5 – 7f; 3 – one mile; 3 – 1 1/16 miles; 2 – 1 1/8 miles) have gone gate-to-wire at Laurel Park from 148 races. Note: Monday saw four (4) runners went gate-to-wire from 8 races. In the 1st race in a 1 1/16 mile race w/ just 4 runners in a “paceless” race, but in the 2nd race (7f), a speed duel ensued and one of those prevailed while in race 7 going one mile the winner broke from the one hole and in race 8, a 6 furlong affair, the winner came from the far outside gate (#9) making every pole a winning one.
  • BEST BET of the Day (16: 6-1-0) Gwynn Oak Park (6th race: 5-2 M/L; 3-5 PT) off the early pace while under some urging and between rivals, angled four wide around the turn, closed steadily on his left lead and under strong handling, moved to command near the sixteenth marker and edged clear late to return $3.40 to WIN, $2.60 to PLACE and $2.10 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (13: 0-1-3) Sweet Sway (3rd race: 6-1 M/L; 2-1 PT) circled the turn, was four wide entering the stretch and flattened out between horses to finish 3rd, just a neck behind the runner-up who lost by a nose returned $2.40 to SHOW.
Long-time racing fan and analyst Gary Quill brings his ‘capping insights to The Racing Biz. Follow him on Twitter @HorseRacingNut.