The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park (live racing Friday-Monday through Feb. 15th; Post Time 12:25pm), including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Jackpot Pick-5, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Multi-race wagers[/su_heading]

  • Race 1: $2 Double   2, 4, 6 w/ 1, 3, 6 ($18)
  • Race 3: $1 Pick-3   1, 4, 8 w/ 1, 6, 7 w/ 1, 8, 9 ($13.50)
  • Race 5: $0.50 Pick-4   8, 9  w/ 4 w/ 1, 2, 4 w/ 2, 4, 6 ($9)
  • Race 7: $2 Double   1, 2, 4 w/ 2, 4, 6 ($18)

 

[su_box title=”SPECIAL PLAYS” style=”glass”]
  • Best Bet: Race 6 / #4 – Gwynn Oak Park (5-2)
  • Longshot: Race 3 / #8 – Sweet Sway (6-1)
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[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

* Laurel Park has closed the turf courses for the season. As far as condition of the main track… the forecast for the northern D.C. suburbs is for Mostly Cloudy skies with temps in the high-40s and a 40% chance of precipitation not until mid-afternoon. The below selections are based on the main track condition being listed as “Fast.”

Note: Today’s card has 8 races instead of the typical 9-race card.

Race 1

  1. #2 – Mike the Hab (7-2): 1st race after M. Eppler claim; should be able to get early lead and maintain it w/o much pressure      
  2. #4 – Sir Sidney (3-1): Claimed two races back for $15k then stepped up to run while in jail; drop to $11k will still be a money-maker if he wins & gets claimed  
  3. #6 – Tuckers Point (5-2): Questionable drop coming off month & half layoff and just one 3f work though Magee scores at 28% clip w/ this layoff  

 

Race 2  

  1. #1 – Cathelda (3-1): 1 of 2 runners in here w/ more than 4 wins (11); drops from Starter Alw7500 and cut backs from route to sprint, a nice angle for conditioner F. Campitelli (24%)          
  2. #3 – Miss Speak (4-1): 9-year-old still making quality starts at bottom level claiming; always gives her best w/ McCarthy in the irons       
  3. #6 – Divine Way (5-1): Only entry & mount for trainer/jock combo in from CT via RP; could try to take field gate-to-wire  

 

Race 3  

  1. #8 – Sweet Sway (6-1): $Longshot Play$ Only runner dropping (ever so slightly) from Starter Alw5000 albeit @ Pen; hoping she just needed that one coming off layoff and 6 consecutive grass efforts    
  2. #1 – Humorous Chant (9-2): May finally be developing into a serviceable racehorse; goes for natural Hat Trick but closing w/ less ground will be tough         
  3. #4 – Seeyouinthetown (7-2): Took lead in stretch but hung & got beat has been typical throughout 8-year-old mare career (61: 6-13-5), but D. Capuano is 33% w/ runners 2nd start under his care

 

Race 4         

  1. #1 – After the Cut Off (4-1): Switch from 7lb. bug to meet’s leading rider could be what this gelding needs to get elusive second win
  2. #7 – D’Humerus (4-1): NY shipper takes second crack at this level and Lrl; got Show purse last time w/ middle move but flattened in final furlong going 7
  3. #6 – Great Smoke (5-1): Was chilly on the board last time coming off win at same level… and ran poorly; blame the off track? Drops from $25k to $15k for sly barn         

 

Race 5

  1. #9 – Unbridled Ghost (5-1): Runner-up in most recent effort to winner who beat him for Place 2 two races back; both at this level; today it’s his turn to get to Winner’s Circle for 2nd time      
  2. #8 – Skip the Punch (8-1): Cut back from 7f to 6f will help this speed demon as will an off track (rain might arrive by this race); if he’s learned how to conserve some energy, he could wire’em    
  3. #1 – It’s Bull Bat Time (8-1): Both career starts have come on an off track; works show he prefers it “off”… hope for rain if you are tossing M/L fav. (#5)

 

Race 6           

  1. #4 – Gwynn Oak Park (5-2): *Best Bet* Ran big in debut while encountering trouble, but shook it off to get up for second; if the track is “off” it should enhance his chances     
  2. #3 – Bronze Bull (3-1): Talk about confidence in a horse; Lynch lost him two back for $25k then reclaimed in next start for $40k @ Prx; but what’s taken so long to run him back?  
  3. #7 – Rampant Rhythm (6-1): Bred to go long yet made debut sprinting and showed mild interest late; stretch out to one mile might bring out the router this colt should become  

 

Race 7  

  1. #4 – Vicky Ticky Tavie (3-1): This 6-year-old has already won a N3X so is in for the Tag; away for 3 months and usually needs one, but rolling the dice she is in the mix early v. these few gals        
  2. #2 – Lake Sebago (5-1): Showed so much promise as a 2-year-old, but winless as a 3-year-old; catches a soft field of N3X; like the 6f works and has a better shot on sloppy track        
  3. #1 – Blisstikus (9-2): Didn’t embarrass herself in recent pair as she ran behind three next out winners in N2X then just 6 lengths back in $100k open stakes

 

Race 8

  1. #2 – Tightly Bridled (9-2): Closing style fits in here w/ a number of early speed types; 21% trainer (E. Geralis) and 3rd start after layoff makes a “W” promising     
  2. #6 – Quality Wise (6-1): Third straight drop since being claimed for $10k; had no business trying one mile and got fried on front end; 6f fits his style    
  3. #4 – Sunrise Bird (4-1): Has shown early foot in two starts for H. McMahon going one mile then retreating; cut back to sprint is a 25% win formula for barn         

 

YESTERDAY’S NEWS

  • On Sunday January 31st at Laurel Park had 5 winners from the 9 race card (3 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-off of $3.60 (1st race), $8.80 (3rd), $6.60 (4th), $21.80 (5th) and $6.40 (6th). Of the suggested Multi-Race wagers hit 50 cent Pick-3 for R3-R5 for $99.10 (cost: $13.50). Note: Year-to-date Top Selections are 36 for 140 (25.71%).
  • Track Bias: To date in 2016, just 25 runners (7 – 5½f; 7 – 6f; 4 – 7f; 2 – one mile; 3 – 1 1/16 miles; 2 – 1 1/8 miles) have gone gate-to-wire at Laurel Park from 140 races. Note: Over the past three days just three (3) runners went gate-to-wire from 27 races, all three were in sprints (5½f and 6f twice).
  • BEST BET of the Day (15: 5-1-0) Kaitain (8th race: 5-1 M/L) was SCRATCHED just a few minutes before Post Time on the advice of the track vet.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (12: 0-1-2) Miss Nosy (3rd race: 6-1 M/L; 5-1 PT) outrun, raced in the two path between horses turning for home and finished 5th.

 

Long-time racing fan and analyst Gary Quill brings his ‘capping insights to The Racing Biz. Follow him on Twitter @HorseRacingNut.