The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park (live racing Friday-Monday through Feb. 15th; Post Time 12:25pm), including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Jackpot Pick-5, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Multi-race wagers[/su_heading]

  • Race 1: $2 Double   1, 5, 7 w/ 3, 4, 5 ($18)
  • Race 3: $1 Pick-3   3, 7, 9 w/ 1, 4, 8 w/ 3, 4, 6 ($13.50)
  • Race 6: $0.50 Pick-4   3, 8, 9  w/ 7, 9 w/ 4, 9 w/ 1, 4, 9 ($18)
  • Race 8: $2 Double   4, 9 w/ 1, 4, 9 ($12)

 

[su_box title=”SPECIAL PLAYS” style=”glass”]
  • Best Bet: Race 8 / #4 – Kaitain (5-1)
  • Longshot: Race 3 / #9 – Miss Nosy (6-1)
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[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

* Laurel Park has closed the turf courses for the season. As far as condition of the main track… the forecast for the northern D.C. suburbs is for Partly Sunny skies with temps in the high-30s and just a 5% chance of precipitation. The below selections are based on the main track condition being listed as “Fast.”

Race 1

  1. #7 – Flatter’s Secret (5-2): Closer should get help from a quick, early pace; cuts back in distance after being runner-up off the bench      
  2. #5 – Ebony Bird (9-2): Easily beat N2L but needs to continue to take another step forward to get it done v. these 
  3. #1 – Silver Bouquet (3-1): Router makes 1st start after claim for A. Eubanks trainee who is entered w/ stablemate (#1A – Stormy Mama) who adds nothing to this entry  

 

Race 2  

  1. #4 – Came Up Rosie (5-1): Needed a search warrant to find one in here that could get early lead and uncovered this one; have faith that McCarthy will try to go gate-to-wire          
  2. #5 – Grecian Star (6-1): Major class break as G. Capuano may have realized this Marathon Farm runner will only compete at claiming level
  3. #3 – Justlookatmenow (3-1): Missed by a neck to next out winner in most recent effort v. similar; question is can she get an extra furlong or hang  

 

Race 3  

  1. #9 – Miss Nosy (6-1): $Longshot Play$ Runner-up in debut over 4 months ago; given time to mature and has nice work tab    
  2. #3 – Girls Got Rhythum (6-1): FTS by Zenzational has had multiple breaks in training for debut; like the 5f bullet followed by maintenance gate work         
  3. #7 – Friesan Flyer (5-2): Made career debut in MD Juvenile Filly Championship and took action (8-1); hopped at start & was finished

 

Race 4         

  1. #8 – Getup Stayup (7-2): Big A shipper sheds blinkers for low pct. trainer (8% in ’15) making first trip to Laurel this meet; been competitive at same level in all 3 career starts
  2. #1 – Iredell (3-1): Away since Nov. when eased in second start stretching out after runner-up finish sprinting in debut
  3. #4 – De Riguer (6-1): 1st race after C. Gonzalez claim (36%) and steps up a level while in jail; regular rider (Carrasco) passes on this one         

 

Race 5

  1. #6 – Max Crown (7-2): Finally got second career victory and claimed out of race by C. Gonzalez who also starts #3; fits condition perfectly to be protected  
  2. #3 – Retire Fifty Five (9-5): Looks for repeat trip to Winner’s Circle in 2nd start for barn after going 1 for 19 w/ previous conditioners… it’s a miracle!      
  3. #4 – Holiday Touch (6-1): Improving speed figures and runner-up v. similar in last effort; Show horse came back to win

 

Race 6           

  1. #8 – A Funny Song (7-2): 1st start for D. Capuano after claim; three bullet works since; adds blinkers
  2. #3 – Sugimoto (8-1): Needs to revert back to a stalking style in sprints as early speed failed him when stretching out to a mile  
  3. #9 – Lanier (6-1): Broke maiden in latest, which was first start after E. Geralis claim over 14 months; chances are favorable to take advantage of a pace meltdown

 

Race 7  

  1. #7 – Afleet Willy (8-5): Won easily 1st time after claim and 1st time versus winners; will have plenty challenging him for the early lead           
  2. #9 – Jarvis Steel (8-1): Beat top pick in debut maiden win, then fortunes were reversed in his next start when bobble compromised a smooth trip      
  3. #3 – Midnight Lovin (12-1): Might want to give this one a second look, as he never had a chance shortly after the gates opened; could get a piece passing leg weary foes

 

Race 8

  1. #4 – Kaitain (5-1): *Best Bet* Impressive back-to-back winner when stretched out beyond 6 furlongs; most recent win v. N1X earned 103 Brisnet#        
  2. #9 – Strong Stipulation (7-2): Consistent, classy runner from G. Motion barn was runner-up to millionaire Page McKenney 
  3. #5 – Coach Fridge (20-1): Brutal to play him on top (4 for 42) but finds way in Exacta & Triples more often than not; faced N3X in last try and competed in state-bred stakes previous three         

 

Race 9  

  1. #4 – Follow the Kitten (7-5): Looks for two in a row for O. Figgins at this lowest claiming level; has back class to improve        
  2. #9 – Bold Gabby (12-1): Got up for Show at 61-1 v. similar as top two finishers were next out winners; ITM 4 of 5 at this distance           
  3. #1 – Anythingicandoforu (15-1): Sprint in 1st start for G. Brooks sets up nicely for longer distance she’s accustomed to traveling; Toledo getting a leg up gets to Winners Circle at 31% clip for Brooks

 

YESTERDAY’S NEWS

  • On Saturday January 30th at Laurel Park had 7 winners from the 9 race card having $2 WIN pay-off of $6.20 (1st race), $17.40 (2nd), $13.20 (4th), $3.20 (5th), $14.20 (6th), $10.20 (8th) and $4.40 (9th). Of the suggested Multi-Race wagers hit $2 DOUBLE R1-R2 for $56.00 (cost: $18) and $2 DOUBLE R8-R9 for $32.60 (cost: $18). Note: Year-to-date Top Selections are 33 for 131 (25.19%).
  • Track Bias: To date in 2016, just 24 runners (7 – 5½f; 6 – 6f; 4 – 7f; 2 – one mile; 3 – 1 1/16 miles; 2 – 1 1/8 miles) have gone gate-to-wire at Laurel Park from 131 races. Note: Over the past two days just two (2) runners went gate-to-wire, both were in sprints (5½f and 6f).
  • BEST BET of the Day (15: 5-1-0) Classic Wildcat (2nd race: 7-2 M/L; 9-2 PT) saved ground within range, took closer order under some nudging mid turn, got through along the rail to challenge in mid stretch then flattened out to finish 4th.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (12: 0-1-2) Stormy Salute (7th race: 12-1 M/L; 8-1 PT) taken to the seven path turning for home, had a mild rally outside horses finishing 4th.

 

RECAP of 2015: Year One of The GQ Approach

  • Selections and Analysis were posted for all live racing days at Laurel Park and Pimlico with a few exceptions when cousin QG filled in. On average The GQ Approach provided Top Pick winners 22% of the time.
  • BEST BET of the Day which by GQ’s standards had to be better than 8-5 Morning Line got to the Winners Circle 27% of the time, was part of the Exacta nearly half (49%) of the time and was good enough to hit the board 2 of every 3 times (67%).
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day which by default is the highest Morning Line odds GQ Top Pick on the card (typically double-digits) won at a 12% clip, was part of the Exacta 24% of the time and was in the money 42% of the time.  
Long-time racing fan and analyst Gary Quill brings his ‘capping insights to The Racing Biz. Follow him on Twitter @HorseRacingNut.