The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park (live racing Friday-Monday through Feb. 15th; Post Time 12:25pm), including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Jackpot Pick-5, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles and Pick-3s.
[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Multi-race wagers[/su_heading]
- Race 1: $2 Double 1, 6, 7 w/ 1, 4, 6 ($18)
- Race 3: $0.50 Pick-3 1, 5, 7 w/ 1, 5, 8 w/ 1, 7, 8 ($13.50)
- Race 6: $0.50 Pick-4 1, 5, 8 w/ 1, 3, 5, 8 w/ 5, 8 w/ 2, 7 ($24)
- Race 8: $2 Double 5, 8 w/ 2, 3, 7 ($12)
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- Best Bet: Race 4 / #8 – Reason to Believe (8-5)
- Longshot: Race 7 / #5 – De Rigueur (6-1)
[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]
* Laurel Park has closed the turf courses for the season. As far as condition of the main track… the forecast for the northern D.C. suburbs is for Mostly Cloudy skies with temps in the low-50’s and just a slight chance of showers. The below selections are based on the main track condition being listed as “Fast.”
- #6 – Piney Blues (9-2): Got pounded at the windows (1-1) in debut and showed early speed but weakened late; got a good education for 2nd start
- #1 – Awesome Marchesa (5-1): FTS by Awesome Again for Stronach Stable was Vet scratch in Dec. when entered to face similar going 5½f; tough assignment on the rail but like work tab
- #7 – Maryland Monroe (6-1): 4-year-old MD-bred FTS by Colonel John been on a steady work schedule @ Fai for small barn; hard to ignore w/ Boyce in irons
- #6 – Stone Crazy (9-2): Showed nothing @ Pen in Alw6250s after natural hat trick off W. Potts claim; 1 for 1 @ Lrl and never OTB (6:3-1-2) when track is “off”
- #4 – Savvy Joe (2-1): Does his best work on an “off track”; dangerous here in 2nd race off Ness claim (26%)
- #1 – I’ll Run the Show (5-2): Winner @ Prx in 1st race after claim when stepped up, showed some of that back class
- #5 – Strike ‘n Spare (5-2): Barn found out he’s not ready for Alw5000s company based on last outing; back at level he won recording lifetime best Brisnet# two back
- #7 – Aridus (6-1): Only has 6 starts w/ 1 win on natural dirt from 44 career starts; last one came v. $15k open claimers; Brooks 32% when dropping 2+ classes
- #1 – Hanky Doodle (9-2): Classic case of 2nd-itis (41:4-12-5) but if track is “off” stands a better chance at winning (8:2-1-1); gets class relief today
- #8 – Reason to Believe (8-5): *Best Bet* Fresh off impressive maiden score for $16k; catches a weak field of N2L $10k claimers
- #5 – Ruby’s Love (9-2): Brisnet#’s have been climbing; steps up a level 1st off claim for Brown (22%)
- #1 – Ecumenical (20-1): Away since mid-March ’15 when having issues out of the gate in last two; broke maiden at first asking on sloppy surface @ Pen
- #1 – Star Maneuver (4-1): 1st race after Gonzalez (28%) claim; just 1 for 20 on natural dirt but had traffic trouble in latest at this distance
- #8 – Perry M (5-1): Only entry on the card for M. Pino, one of the Mid-Atlantic’s top Claiming Trainers in ’15, saddles this gelding 1st off the claim when winning v. $7,500 N4L @ Prx
- #7 – Golden Jason (4-1): Was a $24.00 winner v. open $7,500 claimers as J. Hartsell steps this 6-year-old back up, testing his back class
- #5 – Stormin Wendy (7-2): Pen shipper via WO synthetic for trainer/jock combo (24%) in just with this one; impressive win 1st time natural dirt/blinkers v. N2L
- #8 – Estrada’s Girl (9-5): Connections took a shot shipping to GP for $110k stakes (5th by 2 ½); returns north looking for easier competition
- #1 – Avie (6-1): Needs pace help as Bug Boy Luzzi has rallied her late only to come up a bridesmaid in last two
- #5 – De Rigueur (6-1): $Longshot Play$ Stretches out to 7f after bad start then checked twice on the turn going 5½f here in debut; showed late interest and galloped out ahead of the field
- #1 – Oyster Soup (6-1): Game try in debut as an entrymate w/ #3 in here (who was claimed) going 6f; gets Lasix for 2nd start and shouldn’t face much pressure early as he did in first outing
- #8 – Academic Affair (3-1): Beaten fav. in 4th career start when much the 2nd best over muddy Lrl surface; should improve in 2nd start locally
- #8 – Mean Season (3-5): Former NBA player Rashard Lewis & friend bought this freak after debut win here over 2 years ago; has had trouble getting to track in afternoon w/ just 4 races on resume’ at age 6; Bill Mott brings him back here after nearly 11 month layoff; wins going away or is OTB
- #5 – D C Dancer (9-2): Most accomplished runner in here main threat to beat prohibitive favorite if that one isn’t right; tactical speed in here is a plus
- #7 – Coach Fridge (12-1): Not holding out hope for a win (41:3-15-6) but cut back in distance from Jennings Hcp. stinker makes him worth throwing in exotics
- #2 – Drive At Nite (2-1): 3rd after layoff as he looks to improve those BSFs for a third straight race and graduate for conditioner D. Dilodovico
- #7 – Crafty Estate (12-1): Has shown improvement since coming back from layoff two races back; running line has look of a colt who wants more distance and gets it here
- #3 – Mack the Knife (5-1): Forgiving sprint on drop from MSW in 10th career outing since “Mack” has been routing; gets 7f today and drops another level
- Friday January 8th at Laurel Park had 7 winners from 9 races (3 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-off of $4.00 (2nd race), $9.00 (4th), $3.80 (5th), $6.60 (6th), $9.60 (7th), $4.00 (8th) and $7.40 (9th). Of suggested Multi-Race wagers hit 50 cent Pick-4 R6-R9 for $47.90 (cost: $27) and $2 DOUBLE R8-R9 for $15.20 (cost: $18).
- Track Bias: To date in 2016, just 8 runners (4 – 5½f; 1 – 6f; 1 – 7f; 1 – one mile; 1 – 1 1/8 miles) have gone gate-to-wire at Laurel Park from 45 races, but 4 of those won on Friday.
- BEST BET of the Day (5: 1-0-0) Lily’s Peak (5th race: 8-5 M/L; 4-5 PT) clear early, set the pace near the rail, was challenged on the outside by FAIR SHAKE in upper stretch, dug in tenaciously and edged clear to prevail by 1¼ lengths returning $3.80 to WIN, $2.80 to PLACE and $2.20 to SHOW.
- LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (4: 0-0-1) Tallow (7th race: 6-1 M/L; 5-2 PT) steadied in traffic leaving the backstretch, blocked behind a wall of horses along the rail from the ¼ pole into the stretch, when finally found an opening took a number of strides to kick into gear only good enough for 3rd to return $2.40 to SHOW. Put this one in your Stable Mail.
RECAP of 2015: Year One of The GQ Approach
- Selections and Analysis were posted for all live racing days at Laurel Park and Pimlico with a few exceptions when cousin QG filled in. On average The GQ Approach provided Top Pick winners 22% of the time.
- BEST BET of the Day which by GQ’s standards had to be better than 8-5 Morning Line got to the Winners Circle 27% of the time, was part of the Exacta nearly half (49%) of the time and was good enough to hit the board 2 of every 3 times (67%).
- LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day which by default is the highest Morning Line odds GQ Top Pick on the card (typically double-digits) won at a 12% clip, was part of the Exacta 24% of the time and was in the money 42% of the time.