The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park (live racing Friday-Monday through Feb. 15th; Post Time 12:25pm), including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6 ($2,629 carryover), 50 cent Jackpot Pick-5 ($2,656 carryover), as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles and Pick-3s.

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Multi-race wagers[/su_heading]

  • Race 1: $2 Double  1, 3, 6 w/ 1, 2, 4 ($18)
  • Race 3: $0.50 Pick-3  2, 4, 6 w/ 2, 6, 8 w/ 4, 5, 7 ($13.50)
  • Race 6: $0.50 Pick-4   6, 7 w/ 3, 7, 8 w/ 1, 4, 9 w/ 1, 3, 4 ($27)
  • Race 8: $2 Double  1, 4, 9 w/ 1, 3, 4 ($18)

 

[su_box title=”SPECIAL PLAYS” style=”glass”]
  • Best Bet: Race 4 / #6 – C V Eis (9-5)
  • Longshot: Race 6 / #7 – Outfielder (10-1)
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[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

* Laurel Park has closed the turf courses for the season. As far as condition of the main track… the forecast for the northern D.C. suburbs is for Partly Sunny skies and cold with temps in the mid-30’s and zero chance of precipitation. The below selections are based on the main track condition being listed as “Fast.”

Race 1

  1. #1 – Ebony Bird (9-5): Seems to be the best of a poor lot of bottom level N2L; has managed to get SHOW purse in both tries v. winners (at this level)
  2. #3 – Harem Honey (5-1): Weakened in final furlong going 1/16th further than today v. #1 and ##6 last time; gate-to-wire on frozen track is formula w/ 7 lb. bug (K. Romans) in irons  
  3. #6 – Ready It (3-1): Lightbulb went on when L. Luzzi got aboard and/or trainer tried different, off the pace running style; expect continued improvement  

 

Race 2  

  1. #4 – Street Bullet (3-1): Returns to Lrl, a course on which this gelding has had success (8:4-1-0)      
  2. #1/1A – Grey by You / Good Feng Shui (5-2): Only one may run w/ Carrasco listed on both; give each an equal chance stepping up but need pace help     
  3. #2 – Whatsthequestion (3-1): Runner-up @ Pen on big drop now steps back up for Kreiser (29% w/ shippers to Lrl)

 

Race 3  

  1. #4 – Giant Crystal (9-2): Bad luck at the start of sprint off the bench when sent off as 2-1 second choice; made nice late run; wants more distance and gets it    
  2. #2 – Dicey Flats (7-5): Appears this E. Kenneally shipper from CD was going to take on foes in NY, but looks for a softer spot here? Or isn’t as good as M/L suggests?       
  3. #6 – Weatherurnot (20-1): Running line in all 4 dirt sprints suggests she’s better off going longer; not sure one-turn mile is the remedy but worth putting on ticket for a price

 

Race 4                                                                                                  

  1. #6 – C V Eis (9-5): *Best Bet* This 8-yr-old geldings speed figures are consistently higher than the mixed bag of foes he faces in here         
  2. #8 – Grady (5-1): Catches a break cutting back to 5½f, a distance that suits his early speed well (6:3-0-1); 2nd race after layoff  
  3. #2 – It’s My Perogative (12-1): Woeful looking running lines w/ only 2 races in ’15 mainly v. N1X; glimmer of hope is best 2 races in last 10 came v. similar in here          

 

Race 5

  1. #4 – Cou Rouge (6-1): Has encountered issues in past 3 outings yet still was game; clean trip if he can handle distance gets the “W” at a nice price  
  2. #5 – Consistency (15-1): Showed late interest going 7f when beaten fav. on the drop for $5k… a confidence builder? Steps back up and attracts Toledo who is 3 for 8 at meet w/ F. Allen    
  3. #7 – Kowboy King (8-1): Trombetta “Claim back” is out of jail back at Lrl (4:2-0-0) and is 1 for 1 at distance    

 

Race 6  

  1. #7 – Outfielder (10-1): $Longshot Play$ Catches a weak MSW field; passed faders going 5½f, steps up
  2. #6 – Devil’s Wrangler (6-1): 1st race since being reported as a gelding; 2 career starts, both going long on grass while not bred for grass; trainer is 4 for 11 turf-to-dirt
  3. #1 – Alex’s Way (20-1): Taking a shot that new barn could figure out how to make a racehorse out of this 4-year-old   

 

Race 7  

  1. #7 – Cat Fiftyfive (6-1): On the shelf since breaking maiden 13 months ago; like the steady work tab w/ a few bullets         
  2. #8 – Wildcat Runner (12-1): Speed of the speed could get gate-to-wire score if track is kind early speed w/ temps in low-30s 
  3. #3 – Thoroughbred Fuel (7-2): Stalking running style fits in here against a speed heavy field; goes for natural Hat Trick after beating PA-breds @ Prx     

 

Race 8

  1. #9 – Charmed Victory (7-2): Impressive career debut here when encountering traffic at 5/16 pole; just one of many nice 3-year-olds in R. Jenkins barn        
  2. #1 – Grecian Prince (6-1): Has matured since disappointing run in $100k Sapling @ Mth going one mile; gets a nice pace to chase down    
  3. #4 – Mo for the Money (8-5): NY shipper for A. Dutrow who got shut out @ Lrl in ’15 Fall meet (0 for 23); son of Uncle Mo boasts top Brisnet Prime Power# in here       

 

Race 9  

  1. #3 – Lady Sequoia (8-1): No luck @ Prx when debut for $15k then stepped up to $25k; tries to graduate at more realistic level      
  2. #4 – Lake Shore Gal (3-1): Nevin is 30% on big class droppers; shipped this on in for $25k last time & was outrun      
  3. #1 – Niccatasha (8-1): One of many dropping from $25k to $8k MCL just looking for a spark and/or reason to believe there is hope for the future     

 

YESTERDAY’S NEWS

  • Sunday January 3rd at Laurel Park had just 2 winners from 9 races having $2 WIN pay-off of $22.20 (1st race) and $8.00 (8th). Year-to-date Top Selections are 5 for 27 (19%).
  • Track Bias: To date in 2016, just 4 runners (2 – 5½f; 1 – 6f; 1 – one mile) have gone gate-to-wire at Laurel Park from 27 races.
  • BEST BET of the Day (3: 0-0-0) Fiftyshadesoffun (5th race: 9-2 M/L; 5-1 PT) chased the pace two wide around the turn, moved up between horses and bumped with TIME TO SPARE and WYANDOT near the quarter pole then gave way to finish 8th.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (2: 0-0-0) Zimbabwe (2nd race: 8-1 M/L) was SCRATCHED.

 

RECAP of 2015: Year of One of The GQ Approach

  • Selections and Analysis were posted for all live racing days at Laurel Park and Pimlico with a few exceptions when cousin QG filled in. On average The GQ Approach provided Top Pick winners 22% of the time.
  • BEST BET of the Day which by GQ’s standards had to be better than 8-5 Morning Line got to the Winners Circle 27% of the time, was part of the Exacta nearly half (49%) of the time and was good enough to hit the board 2 of every 3 times (67%).
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day which by default is the highest Morning Line odds GQ Top Pick on the card (typically double-digits) won at a 12% clip, was part of the Exacta 24% of the time and was in the money 42% of the time.  
Long-time racing fan and analyst Gary Quill brings his ‘capping insights to The Racing Biz. Follow him on Twitter @HorseRacingNut.