The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park (live racing Friday-Monday through Feb. 15th; Post Time 12:25pm), including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6 ($1,746 carryover), 50 cent Jackpot Pick-5 as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles and Pick-3s.

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Multi-race wagers[/su_heading]

  • Race 1: $2 Double  1, 4, 5 w/ 1, 4, 7 ($18)
  • Race 3: $0.50 Pick-3  2, 7, 9 w/ 1, 5, 9 w/ 1, 5, 10 ($13.50)
  • Race 6: $0.50 Pick-4  1, 10, 12 w/ 2, 7 w/ 1, 5, 8 w/ 7, 8, 10 ($27)
  • Race 8: $2 Double  1, 5, 8 w/ 7, 8, 10 ($18)

 

[su_box title=”SPECIAL PLAYS” style=”glass”]
  • Best Bet: Race 5 / #10 – Fiftyshadesoffun (9-2)
  • Longshot: Race 2 / #1 – Zimbabwe (8-1)
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[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

* Laurel Park has closed the turf courses for the season. As far as condition of the main track… the forecast for the northern D.C. suburbs is for Partly Sunny skies with temps in the mid-40’s and zero chance of precipitation. The below selections are based on the main track condition being listed as “Fast.”

Race 1

  1. #5 – Patrick Rocks (5-1): Gelding earned black-type in G3 Bashford Manor last June @ CD; nice runner-up effort in 1st race after layoff indicates issues are behind him
  2. #1 – Remain Silent (4-1): Surprise winner (29-1) @ Prx v. N2L; only other runner in here to have also beaten winners is #6  
  3. #4 – Great Smoke (6-1): 3rd start for Ness @ Lrl since being shipped from So. FL; beaten fav. in last outing  

 

Race 2  

  1. #1 – Zimbabwe (8-1): $Longshot Play$ FTS by Aussie superstar/sire Lonhro; Motion been patient w/ this colt per steady worktab over past 3 months    
  2. #4 – Hennessy Fire (8-5): Much the “2nd best” in both career starts; just a matter of time as to when he graduates or does he lack the will to win?     
  3. #7 – Minor Heir (4-1): Prx shipper nipped in debut when 14-1 when in for $40k tag; SHOW horse came back on Friday v. same here running 3rd again, losing by 2-lengths to winner

 

Race 3  

  1. #7 – Justlookatmenow (9-2): No rally in 1st dirt try last outing; drops a level to face N2L    
  2. #2 – Star Eighty (6-1): Rushed up from rail post in last, then checked yet still managed 3rd against similar       
  3. #9 – Luv From Abuv (10-1): Was asked a lot to close on cut back from 8½f to 5½f yet only lost by 2; adds blinkers

 

Race 4

  1. #1 – Full Liquidity (4-1): 9-year-old needed last one of the bench, showing late interest sprinting when she’s at her best travelling one mile (today’s distance)         
  2. #5 – Bachman Billy (5-2): Guessing Potts wanted to give him a race off claim before “getting out of jail” (30 days since claim); didn’t handle step up so now pendulum swings the other way  
  3. #9 – Alpha Dude (3-1): In over his head v. N1X; back to level & distance where he was 3rd behind 2 next one winners          

 

Race 5

  1. #10 – Fiftyshadesoffun (9-2): *Best Bet* In spite of Laurel’s dirt oval not being kind to early speed; this S. Lake trainee is lone speed IMHO
  2. #5 – Not Tonight Berta (8-1): Jock T. Hole rode two others in here last time, but elects to stay on this daughter of Pleasantly Perfect whose maiden win came at this distance    
  3. #1 – Time to Spare (7-2): Has improved on Brisnet# in each race since debut 4 races back; makes 1st start for Brooks barn who wins at 20% clip 1st after claim  

 

Race 6  

  1. #10 – Quality Wise (6-1): Been a Cash Cow ($62k in earnings) while just 1 for 18; willing to toss most recent going one mile… he’s a late running sprinter; he’ll get claimed         
  2. #1 – Oration (10-1): Speed and stopped @ Prx in first outing since June; sheds the blinkers and drops 2 class levels; boasts top Prime Power#
  3. #12 – Book the Bet (9-2): Guessing game as to whether he disliked the mud or is suddenly only good enough to compete v. $5k Claimers, down from $16k   

 

Race 7  

  1. #2 – I Like to Whim (6-1): Impressive debut win; was flattered by runner-up who came back to win on Friday here; should relish added distance based on bloodlines         
  2. #7 – Hold On Momma (5-2): No works since debut win here on Dec. 12th; earned an 88 Brisnet# stopping clock at 1:11 flat for 6f getting final furlong in 12 1/5      
  3. #5 – Broken Bridle (3-1): Broke maiden on turf in last/2nd career race but was well backed in debut and never ran a lick in the mud; nice works since     

 

Race 8

  1. #5 – Regal Soldier (4-1): Finally got a clean trip and favorite distance in last outing to get to Winner’s Circle in $35k Claimer; can repeat v. these N1X        
  2. #8 – Kaitain (3-1): Had reservations about his ability to get mile last time, but did it w/ ease to graduate; Brisnet#’s are among best in this field    
  3. #1 – Tribal Honour (10-1): Gonzalez runners seem to like Laurel dirt oval and this one is no exception (7:3-1-1) but just 1 for 10 going two-turns       

 

Race 9  

  1. #7 – Anita Marie (4-1): Take appropriate drop as SoCal castoff looks for class relief after two SHOW placings @ Pen   
  2. #8 – Say a Hail Mary (3-1): Stidham’s invaders from Chi-town haven’t been much of a threat but this one a heartbreaker; tries again but is 0 for 15 going 6f  
  3. #10 – Alwaysacontest (9-2): 9-year-old 1st start after Claim tries to retain form that saw her win 7 of 14 at distance; has fondness for Lrl (14:5-5-0) too    

 

YESTERDAY’S NEWS

  • Saturday January 2nd at Laurel Park had 7 winners from 9 races (3 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-off of $6.00 (1st race), $6.80 (2nd), $6.60 (4th), $5.60 (5th), $3.60 (6th), $2.80 (7th) and $7.00 (8th). Of suggested Multi-race plays hit $2 R1-R2 DOUBLE for $26.80 (cost: $18). Year-to-date Top Selections are 5 for 18 (28%).
  • Track Bias: To date in 2016, only 2 runners (both sprinting, 5½f & 6f) have gone gate-to-wire at Laurel Park from 18 races.
  • BEST BET of the Day (2: 0-0-0) The Great Provider (2nd race: 9-5 M/L; 8-5 PT) pulled his way forward inside soon after the break and entertained the pace, remained along the rail squaring off with a trio of rivals to his outside past the five sixteenths, failed to go on in upper stretch, gave way and drifted out in the final furlong to finish 4th.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (2: 0-0-0) After the Cut Off (5th race: 8-1 M/L; 5-1 PT) circled the turn four deep and flattened out in the drive to stay on for 4th.

 

RECAP of 2015: Year of One of The GQ Approach

  • Selections and Analysis were posted for all live racing days at Laurel Park and Pimlico with a few exceptions when cousin QG filled in. On average The GQ Approach provided Top Pick winners 22% of the time.
  • BEST BET of the Day which by GQ’s standards had to be better than 8-5 Morning Line got to the Winners Circle 27% of the time, was part of the Exacta nearly half (49%) of the time and was good enough to hit the board 2 of every 3 times (67%).
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day which by default is the highest Morning Line odds GQ Top Pick on the card (typically double-digits) won at a 12% clip, was part of the Exacta 24% of the time and was in the money 42% of the time.  
Long-time racing fan and analyst Gary Quill brings his ‘capping insights to The Racing Biz. Follow him on Twitter @HorseRacingNut.