The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park (live racing Friday-Monday through Feb. 15th; Post Time 12:25pm), including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 10 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Jackpot Pick-5 as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles and Pick-3s.

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”center”]Happy New Year – Wishing You All the Best in 2016[/su_heading]

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Multi-race wagers[/su_heading]

  • Race 1: $2 Double  1, 2, 4 w/ 4, 5, 7 ($18)
  • Race 3: $0.50 Pick-3 1, 8, 10 w/ 1, 5, 9 w/ 5, 7, 9 ($13.50)
  • Race 6: $0.50 Pick-4 2, 5, 7 w/ 2, 9 w/ 6, 7, 8 w/ 3, 8, 10 ($27)
  • Race 8: $2 Double 6, 7, 8 w/ 3, 8, 10 ($18)

 

[su_box title=”SPECIAL PLAYS” style=”glass”]
  • Best Bet: Race 1 / #1 – Florida Cowgirl (2-1)
  • Longshot: Race 2 / #4 – Snowfly (8-1)

 

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[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

* Laurel Park has closed the turf courses for the season. As far as condition of the main track… the forecast for the northern D.C. suburbs is for Partly Sunny skies with temps in the mid-40’s and just slight chance of precipitation. The below selections are based on the main track condition being listed as “Fast”.  

Race 1

  1. #1 – Florida Cowgirl (2-1): *Best Bet* 1st race after claim for connections who are all Charlie Sheen-like when it comes to horse racing… Winning! 1 of 2 in here who have beaten winners
  2. #4 – California Wildcat (5-1): Nice try when runner-up 1st time v. winners; Brisnet#s keep climbing  
  3. #2 – Serenready (15-1): CT shipper has faced the boys in past two outings; back in A. Farrior barn when she showed promise in late summer

 

Race 2  

  1. #4 – Snowfly (8-1): $Longshot Play$ Away since Nov. 11 debut here when 4th; trainer M. Pino been working this one in A.M. for hopefully a better showing    
  2. #5 – New Turf (12-1): Sent off as PT fav. v. MSW but never ran a lick in mud after speedy debut on grass in VA-bred stakes sprinting     
  3. #7 – Rydell (7-2): Will be singing “Volare” if this Prx shipper can continue to show late foot given an extra furlong

 

Race 3  

  1. #10 – Celtic Lord (6-1): Needs to run a straight line in deep stretch; potential is there to step up beyond this level  
  2. #8 – Virden Corinthian (8-1): Capuano turns to K. Francois after traffic issues compromised chances 1st time v. winners in last outing       
  3. #1/1A – Venetian Cat / Don’t Be Fooled (10-1): The “Cat” has had bad racing luck since claim 3 back; same for entrymate last time & adds Blinkers

 

Race 4

  1. #9 – Never Stop Looking (3-1): Brutal natural dirt record (2 for 31) but 1 for 4 at distance; Carrasco/Gonzalez combo was lethal at Laurel ’15 Fall meet (35%)          
  2. #5 – Sir Sidney (5-2): House horse hasn’t seen Winners Circle in nearly a year; takes appropriate drop
  3. #1 – Going to Market (15-1): Showed nothing in first dirt try since L. Gaudet claim 5 back; runs for cheapest tag in career   

 

Race 5

  1. #7 – Play Big (3-1): Dutrow got the goose egg (0 for 20) at recently concluded Laurel meet; looking to start ’16 on a winning note
  2. #9 – Kingslayer (6-1): Son of Ghostzapper bred to go long; stretch out from 3 sprints to start career should yield a better result    
  3. #5 – Nueces (7-2): Tough to take another A. Dutrow runner in here but that 46% when 1st time Lasix cannot be ignored; Toledo off trainers other entry (#7)  

 

Race 6  

  1. #2 – Lockport (6-1): Unusual scenario where runner top Prime Power# has a generous Morning Line
  2. #5 – Mr Monster (9-2): Lost all chance when reared at the start in most recent outing v. N1X; BSFs continue to rise
  3. #7 – Jiravit (5-1): Both career wins have come here w/ Carrasco in the irons; needs clean break  

 

Race 7

  1. #2 – Elusive Joni (5-2): Discovered she’s a sprinter after tiring as 3-5 PT fav going long; Adds Blinkers; will have company for early lead  
  2. #9 – Street Cruizer (7-2): Not the cleanest of trips in debut when sent off as 7-2 2nd choice; trainer L. Murray gets 20% of 2nd career starters to Winners Circle    
  3. #6 – I Dream of Lois (10-1): FTS by Uncle Mo whose babies have been “precocious” (IMHO this is the most over used word by racing analysts on the tube. Am I wrong?!)   

 

Race 8

  1. #7 – Dinny Dinosaur (3-1): Temps are more winter-like (sub-freezing at night) which might help early speed stay; if early races indicate as such, no one will catch him        
  2. #6 – Siete de Oros (6-1): Always well backed at the windows; should get a nice price today based on step up in class, but he has back class to handle it  
  3. #8 – My Enigma (10-1): Taking a shot here on this turf runner who broke maiden in only start on a “fast” track 10 races ago     

 

Race 9  

  1. #8 – Breaking the City (6-1): Pen shipper makes Lrl debut; trainer B. Kulp only ships when runner has a chance (3: 0-1-2); A. Rodriguez was aboard for last win
  2. #10 – Onegreatstep (5-1): Needs pace help and only the absence of a Speed Bias gives this mare a chance; 4 of 5 wins have come here  
  3. #3 – Roxbury Rocket (8-1): With close of turf season, connections must feel this 7 y.o. is in good enough form to let her run on dirt (4:0-0-1); she’ll try to go gate-to-wire    

 

YESTERDAY’S NEWS

  • Thursday December 31st at Laurel Park had 5 winners from 9 races (4 Top Selection; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-off of $4.40 (1st race), $19.40 (3rd), $x.x0 (3rd), $x.x0 (4th), $x.x0 (5th), $x.x0 (6th), $10.20 (7th), $4.80 (8th) and $10.80 (9th).  Of the suggested multi-race wagers, he hit 0.50 Pick 5, which paid $1,443.30 for a 50-cent wager and the late double, which paid $31.80 for a $2 wager.
  • BEST BET of the Day (132: 36-29-23) Lovable Lady (8th race: 2-1 M/L, 7-5 post time) broke inward and bumped a rival, rated under a snug hold off the pace while enveloped in horses, shifted outside for the stretch drive, and proved much the best in winning by four lengths, returning $4.80 to WIN, $3.40 to PLACE, and $2.40 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY OF THE DAY (127: 15-15-23) Homeboykris (7th race: 10-1 M/L, 4.10-1 post time) stalked the pace from third, was three wide on the turn, took the lead nearing the furlong grounds, and drew off to win easily, returning $10.20 to WIN, $6.20 to PLACE, and $4.00 to SHOW.

 

RECAP of 2015: Year of One of The GQ Approach

  • Selections and Analysis were posted for all live racing days at Laurel Park and Pimlico with a few exceptions when cousin QG filled in. On average The GQ Approach provided Top Pick winners 22% of the time.
  • BEST BET of the Day which by GQ’s standards had to be better than 8-5 Morning Line got to the Winners Circle 26% of the time, was part of the Exacta nearly half (49%) of the time and was good enough to hit the board 2 of every 3 times (66%).
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day which by default is the highest Morning Line odds GQ Top Pick on the card (typically double-digits) won at an 11% clip, was part of the Exacta 23% of the time and was in the money 41% of the time.  

 

Long-time racing fan and analyst Gary Quill brings his ‘capping insights to The Racing Biz. Follow him on Twitter @HorseRacingNut.