The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park (live racing Friday-Sunday; Post Time 12:25pm), including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 10 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Jackpot Pick-5 and rolling 50 cent Super High-5’s.

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Multi-race wagers[/su_heading]

  • Race 1: $2 Double  7, 8, 9 w/ 5, 6, 8 ($18)
  • Race 3: $0.50 Pick-3 6, 7, 11 w/ 2, 8, 10 w/ 3, 7, 10 ($13.50)
  • Race 5: $0.10 Rainbow Pick-6  3, 10 w/ 3, 11 w/ 3, 5 w/ 4 w/ 2, 11 w/ 1, 2 ($3.20)
  • Race 6: $0.50 Jackpot Pick-5 3, 11 w/ 3, 5 w/ 4, 11 w/ 2, 11 w/ 1, 2 ($16)
  • Race 9: $2 Double 2, 10, 11 w/ 1, 2, 11 ($18)

 

[su_box title=”SPECIAL PLAYS” style=”glass”]
    • Best Bet: Race 8 / #4 – More On Tap (7-2)
    • Longshot: Race 7 / #3 – Jolity (12-1)
[/su_box]

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

* Laurel Park on Sunday has four (4) races (3rd, 5th, 7th, 9th) scheduled to be run on the TURF. Forecast for the northern D.C. suburbs is for Mostly Sunny skies with high temps in the low-50’s and just a 10% chance of precipitation. The below selections are based on the TURF being “Good” and a “Fast” main dirt track.  

Race 1

  1. #7 – Young Dude (3-1): Exits a number of turf & synthetic races; Ness drops off win (34%)
  2. #8 – Uncle Carm (6-1): One of just a few in here who faced open $5k Claimers in last outing
  3. #9 – Trusted Choice (15-1): Will get the early lead, only question is will cut back to one mile be enough to last  

 

Race 2

  1. #6 – Idon’tknogoaskanni (4-1): Gonzalez ambitiously placed this 7 y.o. in past two races since claim; class relief today
  2. #8 – Chance Encounter (3-1): Three consecutive runner-up finishes; drops as poor Magee hasn’t been to Winner’s Circle… since yesterday  
  3. #5 – Purple Friday (4-1): Nice ITM record (9:3-0-2) as this mare has been bounced around all kind of conditions

 

* Race 3  

  1. #7 – Newcomb (3-1): FTS by Giant’s Causeway has nice work tab leading up to career debut; typically Glen Hill Farm + Tom Proctor + turf = win photo     
  2. #11 – Head Games (10-1): Point 3 back to debut, only turf try when she lost by 3 lengths to two next out winners; Chirinos is an underrated turf rider
  3. #6Sensible Match (5-1): Makes 3rd start, 1st on turf but debut was washed off grass; threat to go gate-2-wire

 

Race 4

  1. #8 – Ebony Bird (8-1): Going w/ the “Lightbulb Theory” here as she broke her maiden in most recent (9th) start on a steep drop & 1st time on “Fast” dirt surface          
  2. #10 – Dream Brew (5-2): Cut back to mile just what the doctor ordered for House Horse who was runner-up for $10k
  3. #2 – Keys Garboy (12-1): Appears hopeless to find wire first again, but drop and switch back to L. Garcia might be formula here

 

* Race 5  

  1. #10 – Guts and Glory (7-2): Is 1 for 1 on Lrl turf when faced much better; should be forwardly placed, if not on lead as this group lacks early speed  
  2. #3 – Lighthouse Sound (6-5): Boasts the only triple-digit turf Brisnet# (101) in here; was lukewarm on board last outing at Pid when 3rd
  3. #7 – Favor Factor (15-1): Prx shipper makes Lrl debut; been finishing mid-pack against better talent, two next out winners from last race

 

Race 6

  1. #3 – Summer Morn (6-1): Protected due to meeting condition; looking for him to go gate-2-wire      
  2. #11 – Excellent Royale (10-1): This Irish-bred’s lone natural dirt try was @ Sar and showed he can handle it
  3. #2 – Fifty Two (12-1): Key here is the blinkers back on; willing to toss that most recent effort due to slop, going longer than usual and v. tougher

 

* Race 7

  1. #3 – Jolity (12-1): $Longshot Play$ Sent off as 3-1 PT favorite in debut on turf but “Gave way” after 6f; bred for turf top & bottom, Augustin Stables/Motion have habit of winning w/ turf runners
  2. #5 – Choir (3-1): On paper this one is Motion’s stronger entry, Boyce had mount on both in their debut, yet goes w/ the #3 here; stretch out to 2-turns should help  
  3. #10 – Whatifiwaswilling (12-1): She certainly was “willing” in debut sprinting on turf after traffic issues, still showed late interest       

 

Race 8

  1. #4 – More On Tap (7-2): *Best Bet* Owners refuse to given their runners Lasix unless it’s absolutely necessary; based on last race running line when 3-5 favorite, she bled      
  2. #11 – Tasunke Witco (10-1): Dutrow still looking for 1st win at current Lrl meet (0 for 11); back to one-turn after this one got a good number, but evenly in last outing      
  3. #14 – Madbobandshan (9-2): Continues to climb the class ladder while not disappointing backers; has crossed under the wire 1st or 2nd in last 5 efforts

 

* Race 9  

  1. #2– Forest Funds (7-2): Trainer R. Preciado smartly places his Prx shippers (5:0-4-0); Navarro not in irons, but McCarthy is nice backup
  2. #11 – No Tunes (5-1): Couldn’t get to winner in last at this level, distance & surface; hasn’t run a bad one in quite some time
  3. #10 – Previous Honor (12-1): Has early speed potential, especially w/ Mejias as pilot; biggest gamble thinking R. Houghton will get his 2nd win of ’15 from 57 starters

 

Race 10  

  1. #2 – Chapel Gap (10-1): Returns to dirt off wide run on turf; chance that Juarez can repeat effort two back that earned him SHOW money when 53-1
  2. #1 – Ready It (2-1): Logical pick on drop; Toledo back in irons is a positive sign
  3. #11 – Callmebelladonna (10-1): Lifetime low-level maiden claimer has earned over $21k from 13 starts, 8 ITM finishes… gets jock upgrade today  

 

 YESTERDAY’S NEWS

  • Saturday November 21st at Laurel Park with had 6 winners from 10 races (3 Top Selections; payoffs in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-off of $6.20 (4th race), $3.20 (5th), $17.80 (6th), $10.60 (7th), $3.00 (8th) and $5.40 (9th).
  • BEST BET of the Day (119: 30-27-20) Whisky Rock (4th race: 3-1 M/L; 3-1 PT) five deep past the three eighths, swung out from behind rivals soon into the lane to emerge seven wide, straightened away and finished strong, but unable to get to the winner to return $4.40 to PLACE and $3.20 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY OF THE DAY (112: 14-13-21) Slews Love (10th race: 8-1 M/L; 5-1 PT) raced off the pace while five-wide in upper stretch, steadied off the heels of a rival near the sixteenth pole, shifted out and failed to menace, finishing 10th.
Long-time racing fan and analyst Gary Quill brings his ‘capping insights to The Racing Biz. Follow him on Twitter @HorseRacingNut.