The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Pimlico Race Course, including a daily best bet, longshot play, and multi-race wagers — including the 10 cent Rainbow Pick 6 and today’s special $2 Black-Eyed Susan/Preakness Daily Double.

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Multi-race wagers[/su_heading]

      • Race 1: $2 Double: 8, 9, 10 w/ 5, 7, 9 ($18)
      • Race 3: $0.50 Pick Three: 11, 12, 14 (or 8) w/ 2, 7, 9 w/ 1, 8, 10 ($13.50)
      • Race 6: $0.10 Jackpot Pick 6: 2, 4, 7 w/ 1, 8, 10 w/ 2 w/ 7, 10 w/ 2, 4, 5 w/ 6, 7, 9 ($16.20)
      • Race 8: $250k Guaranteed $0.50 Pick 4: 1, 2, 3 w/ 7, 10 w/ 2, 4, 5 w/ 6, 7, 9 ($27)
      • Race 11: $250k Guaranteed $0.50 Pick 4: 6, 7, 9 w/ 4, 5, 7 w/ 2, 9, 10 w/ 8, 10 ($27)
      • Race 11: $2 Black-Eyed Susan-Preakness Double: 3, 6, 7, 8, 9 w/ 2 ($10)
      • Race 12: $0.50 Pick Three: 4, 5, 7 w/ 2, 9, 10 w/ 5, 8, 10 ($13.50)
      • Race 13: $2 Double: 2, 9, 10 w/ 5, 8, 10 ($18)

 

 

[su_box title=”SPECIAL PLAYS” style=”glass”]
  • Best Bet: Race 8 / #2 – Windy Forecast (10-1)
  • Longshot: Race 9 / #10 – Brewing (12-1)

 

[/su_box]

 

 

[su_heading size=”21″ align=”left”]Analysis[/su_heading]

* Pimlico Race Course has five (5) races (1st, 3rd, 5th, 7th, 9th & 13th) scheduled to be run on the TURF. Forecast for the Baltimore metropolitan area on Friday is for Partly Cloudy skies with high temp in low 70’s. The below selections in those races are based on the belief they will be run ON the TURF.

* Race 1

  1.  #9 – Dunne Hall (5-2): Got an education in debut v. M/L fav. (#10); can turn the tables     
  2.  #8 – Spring Equinox (4-1): Early speed on turf has been treated kindly @ Pim              
  3. #10 – Pool Winner (9-5): Failed as 1-1 PT fav. here w/ addition of Blinkers  

 

Race 2

  1. #5 – Lasamanamama (10-1): Lately has been competing against tougher groups than this one    
  2. #9 – Cayman Croc (6-1): Barn had high hopes for her taking on G1 company in 2nd start; away for 5 months      
  3. #7 – Samantha Nicole (3-1): Full sister to Rachel Alexandra (’09 Preakness winner) has not lived up to the hype       

 

* Race 3

  1. #11 – Sterling Maximus (6-1): Threat to go gate-2-wire v. field void of early speed  
  2. #12 – Conscience (6-5): SA Shipper for strong connections is no bargain at the windows
  3. #14(AE) – Super Spender (5-2): Came alive when introduced to turf @ GP; use if he draws in
  4. #8 – T Sizzle (5-1): If #14 scratched, this guy owns the best turf Brisnet Speed Figure (BSF) in field   

 

Race 4

  1. #9 – Clockstrucktwelve (2-1): A.M. works say she’s fast, but so are others in here; Princess or Pauper?          
  2. #2 – Perigee Moon Slide (8-1): Showed nice dirt works prior to (turf) debut; should improve       
  3. #7 – Paper Doll (6-1): 98-1 in debut showed speed and faded; 1st time Lasix & jock switch is a plus  

 

Race 5 – $100,000 Hilltop Stakes

  1. #10 – Miss Temple City (8-5): Any filly who gets beat by just 2½ lengths to Lady Eli, arguably the best turf filly on the planet, is a monster in her own right       
  2.  #8 – All in Fun (6-1): Connections have reputation for turning out nice turf runners, this one could be their next star; forgiving wide run in last; Rosario should grab early lead            
  3.  #1 – Ayaady (7-2): Cost a cool million at auction in 2013 and early results say she was worth it; Castellano is a masterful turf rider, but Pim turf has not been that kind to deep closers      

 

Race 6

  1. #7 – Holiday Camp (5-1): Smartly placed where he can succeed after getting blitzed by in stakes races by the likes of American Pharoah and Cinco Charlie
  2. #2 – Watery Moon (6-1): Been away since June ’14; resumed training in Mar. & progressing nicely  
  3. #4 – American Progress (5-2): An amazing turn around since Rudy Rod claimed him in Dec.

 

* Race 7

  1. #1 – Playful Love (5-1): Motion has been patient to find right spot for her return to the races since taking over as her conditioner
  2. #8 – Charm City Girl (3-1): Could be a Graham Motion Exacta; has slowly improved over every previous race
  3. #10 – Silverville (6-1): As the makings of a future turf star; may have taken a while for her to mature    

 

Race 8 – $100,000 G3 Miss Preakness Stakes

  1. #2 – Windy Forecast (10-1): $Best Bet$ Simply look at her only natural dirt surface start; Blinkers Off, G. Stevens On, Nuff said!
  2. #3– Miss Ella (4-1): Perfect 2 for 2 and continues to get disrespected by bettors and M/L oddsmaker
  3. #1  – Enchanting Lady (3-1): Draw a line through her G3 Eight Belles race; makes amends w/ alert start here

 

* Race 9 – $100,000 Jim McKay Turf Sprint Stakes

  1. #10 – Brewing (12-1): $Longshot Play$ Speedster on dirt makes turf debut in a stakes indicating the confidence D. Wayne Lukas has in this colt; 1 of 3 mounts SoCal jock Nakatani has for the “Coach”        
  2.  #7 – Bold Thunder (7-2): Can match strides from start to finish with top pick and stay on if the turf course continues to be “speed friendly”; ruined Ben’s Cat comeback in last outing      
  3.  #4 – Golden Emperor (12-1): Puts his Big Boy Pants by stepping up into stakes company after scoring a hat trick going 5f on GP turf over restricted foes; love the fact Saez comes up just for this one 

 

Race 10 – $150,000 G3 Allaire DuPont Distaff Stakes

  1. #2 – Stopchargingmaria (9-5): Brings an impressive resume’; since winning the ’14 Black-Eyed Susan, she has competed in four (4) Grade 1 events scoring 2 victories and 2 runner-up finishes game; 4:3-1-0 at distance    
  2. #4 – Joint Return (15-1): Has lost to M/L fav. twice but has matured since then; trainer has made no bones about it, “I’m not coming there just to take a tour of Baltimore”        
  3. #5 – Fortune Pearl (8-1): Another previous victim of Maria’s looking for paybacks; could be a big day for Motion 

 

Race 11  – $250,000 G2 Black-Eyed Susan Stakes

  1. #6 – Sweetgrass (12-1): Bred to run two-turn routes and finally gets one today; big step up though    
  2. #7 – Devine Aida (10-1): So. FL jock comes up just to ride her; if she gets easy, early lead lookout!  
  3. #9 – Keen Pauline (15-1): She’s been running into a couple buzzsaws in allowance type races; nobody in here will scare her

 

Race 12 – $100,000 Skipat Stakes

  1. #5 – Lady Sebelia (1-1): Toss her G1 effort @ Keenelend effort in her last outing; 2 of 3 bullets works since proves that she is still on top of her game and more than capable of bouncing back v. these 
  2. #7  – Who’s in Town (12-1): Has an interesting trait… she wins or at least gives a solid effort 1st race off the bench; trainer M. Matz have a rough year (3 of 71), but works say “All systems are GO!”
  3. #4 – Galiana (8-1): Hard to argue with turf sprint record (12: 8-0-1) and showed a liking to the Pim grass in in most recent start; will get a solid pace early on helping her cause to get up in deep stretch

 

* Race 13 

  1. #2 – Conspirer (6-1): Can take advantage of a quick early pace to launch furious rally in the stretch
  2. #10  – Girl From Glen (8-1): Been on the shelf since October, jock Lopez a nice turf rider can get it done
  3. #9 – Velet Tie (6-1): Should be the speed of the speed; if she gets away w/ slow fractions could steal it  

 

Race 14 – $300,000 G3 Pimlico Special Stakes

  1. #10 – Commissioner (5-2): Trainer Todd Pletcher is hoping it’s Déjà vu’ all over again as he won this event last year with same owner & jockey on a nice colt named Revolutionary; been training well since his personal best 113 BSF which is also tops among his rivals in here 
  2. #8 – Top Billing (12-1): Looking to regain the form and promise he had as a 3-year-old when losing by a neck to The Commish; his last race was a promising indicator that he just might be ready to shine 
  3. – Page McKenney (15-1): Ready to “Shock the World” after his 3rd in the CT Classic at 33-1 in spite of having to alter course; will need another super effort here to get the “W” but as NCAA March Madness announcer Gus Johnson coined when referring to a Cinderella story that came true, the local connections are hoping “The slipper fits!!!” 

 

YESTERDAY’S NEWS

  • On Thursday, May 14th at Pimlico had just 4 winners from 9 races (2 Top Picks payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-off of $4.60 (1st race), $4.80 (2nd), $4.20 (4th) and $3.20 (9th).
  • The BEST BET of the Day (52: 12-14-9) Gwent (5th race: 5-2 M/L; 3-1 PT) hugged the rail around the turn and rallied inside horses to just get up for the runner-up position to return $3.40 to PLACE and $2.40 to SHOW.
  • The LONGSHOT PLAY OF THE DAY (46: 6-5-12) Mshomecomingqueen (8th race: 6-1 M/L; 5-1 PT) unhurried early, gained between rivals into the lane, came some to continue progression past the eighth pole out, shifted back in when the leaders drifted but failed to generate the needed kick finishing 6th.
 
Long-time racing fan and analyst Gary Quill brings his ‘capping insights to The Racing Biz. Follow him on Twitter @HorseRacingNut.