The GQ Approach – Laurel June 8

by | Jun 8, 2018 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing | 1 comment

Cloud Computing

Cloud Computing edged Classic Empire to win the 2017 Preakness. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Pimlico for the live spring racing meet, Post Time 1:10pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today's Carryovers
  • Rainbow Pick 6: $3,842
  • Super High 5: none
  • Late Pick 5: none
GQ's Handicapping Tip of the Day
Change of Equipment or Medication - Trainers often tinker with a horse's equipment - putting on or removing blinkers, adding Lasix, gelding a horse - to find what works best. Sometimes these changes can yield big improvements.
Best Bet of the Day
Race 10 / #8 – Cyclobomb (4-1)
Longshot Play of the Day
Race 1 / #6 – Flyingontheground (12-1)
Multi-race Wagers
    • Race 1 – $2 Double 2, 6, 10 w/ 3, 4 ($12)
    • Race 3 – 50 cent Pick-3  1, 4, 5 w/1, 4, 5 w/ 2, 11, 13 ($13.50)
    • Race 9 – $2 Double 1, 2, 12 w/ 8 ($12)

Analysis

  • Weather: Partly Cloudy; highs in the low-80s
  • Scheduled turf races: 1st, 3rd, 5th, 7th, 9th and 10th
  • Projected track conditions: Main – FAST / Turf – FIRM

First Race Post Time 1:10pm EDT

Race 1 is ON THE TURF

  1.   #6 – Flyingontheground (12-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ In second debut (first was 11-months in off the turf MSW at Pen) had a total meltdown pre-race, then races 5-wide showing late interest to salvage sixth when first time Lasix; turf bloodlines, any improvement and she’s there on the class drop
  2. #10 – Reiltin Oir (15-1): Second start with blinkers after being beaten favorite when shuffled back early in off the turf sprint v. $16kMCL; S. Russell retains mount
  3. #2 – Calling Mr. Spock (9-2): Bred to run of turf, gets first shot on it in third career start; faced a few monsters on dirt so far in MSW without being embarrassed; drops in for $25k tag

Race 2

  1. #4 – Love N Kimestry (7-2): Third start after brief layoff while having trouble at the start in both previous outings can make career start #9 the one in which he earns diploma
  2. #3 – Stay On Point (9-2): Has already crossed the wire first twice and raced against N2L in latest, but a pair of DQ’s, the latest took a few weeks to be determined, find him back in the maiden ranks
  3. #7 – Fear the Reaper (7-2): Has consistently earned similar BRIS#s which his latest would be good enough to beat these foes; traffic issues at the half stymied progress in latest

Race 3 is ON THE TURF

  1. #5 – Bad Angle Burke (3-1): Broke maiden v. $16kMCL two back in an off the turf event then followed that with runner-up effort against peers for $15k; first turf try in eighth career start
  2. #4 – Dutch Blitz (9-2): Trainer H. McMahon hasn’t hit pay dirt since claiming this gelding two back out of maiden win, though stepped him up in both; turns to previous jock R. Chiappe in hopes of changing fortunes 
  3. #1 – Dangerous Dan (8-1): Away since last Dec. when breaking maiden here at bottom level over a good, sealed oval; gives turf a second shot as he was very quick from gate in lone grass effort but weakened going 5f at GP in MSW with W. Ward the conditioner; that was 2 years ago; shows a nice worktab     

Race 4

  1. #4 – Baltimore Street (9-5): A lifelong sprinter heads for unchartered territory stretching out to one mile and taking on open claimers on dirt; evenly in latest against Alw500s; beaten favorite in previous 3 races
  2. #1 – Truly Hot (2-1): Second time blinkers and after $7,500 claim by trainer R. Sillaman; bit off a bit more than she could chew so now gets major class relief dropping to bottom level $5k
  3. #5 – Hashtag Selfie (7-2): For unknown she’s ran on the turf in latest, to run turf record to 3:0-0-1; 4 for 11 on Lrl main oval but best results have come going 7 furlongs against conditional $5k foes

Race 5 is ON THE TURF

  1. #11 – Jumpin’ Nancy (10-1): Can boast career best turf BRIS#… barely, which came in latest, herr first start of ’18 and just second on turf; imagine what she’ll do in this outing; she won in second start after layoff last year
  2. #13 – Hip Hop (6-1): 3-year-old took a forwardly placed position in turf sprint against elders last month and prevailed with room to spare; appears to have a future on the grass
  3. #2 – A Great Time (7-5): Sent off 2-1 Post Time favorite when making first start in 15-months yet lacked stamina to seal the deal; that was against restricted Alw gals 

Race 6

  1. #1 – Doit for Spite (3-1): Misguided turf start in second career outing after promising debut v. same level as today when encountered traffic and zig-zagged down the lane to be runner-up; second start with blinkers 
  2. #3 – Cut Time (7-2): Appears that might be what connections are feeling by dropping her to $16kMCL; will be happy to get back on a fast track (5:0-3-0)
  3. #8 – Starship Yenta (8-1): Has not shown the early speed of late that propelled this 5-year-old mare to two straight PLACE finishes; gets fourth jock change in past four starts

Race 7 is ON THE TURF

  1. #8 – Beltway Bob (3-1): Part of Exacta in last three turf tries; toss his latest on dirt; F. Boyce has been in the irons and will happily let the early speed to her outside set it up for her late charge
  2. #7 – Jump Ship (8-1): Just 2 for 27 on the turf; makes third start of ’18 on appropriate drop; best turf efforts have come on a firm turf which he hasn’t raced on since last Oct., his last win
  3. #2 – Censure (7-2): This gelded son of Blame got an extended winter vacation, waiting until mid-April to start training for turf season; finished sophomore year on turf strong; trainer R. Jenkins sends them postward only when they are ready 

Race 8

  1. #6 – Timeless Curls (8-5): Much the second best in debut when a worst kept secret, sent off 3-2 favorite, form was flattered by SHOW horse who finished 7+ lengths back yet returned to win next start
  2. #3 – Majestic Reason (7-2): MD-bred daughter of Majestic Warrior out of a Not for Love mare is a home bred for owner with deep pockets at the sales but doesn’t have G. Motion train many of them; this one musts be special; nice workout pattern for the past 2-months
  3. #5 – Our Circle of Love (5-1): $380k Kee Sept. ’16 yearling purchase for high profile owners; been training at Saratoga for trainer M. Nevin who is 6 for 17 with runner at Lrl since Sept.

Race 9 is ON THE TURF

  1. #1/1A – Furyofthenorsemen/The Great Provider (9-2): “Fury” was a surprise winner of sprint in ’18 debut as he typically goes two turns; “Provider” drew 16 Post on AE List and will likely scratch
  2. #2 – Mai Ty One On (5-2): Exits successful winter campaign at GP ending with a pair of wins; required step up into N2x will make a natural Hat Trick a tough task; 2:1-1-0 at distance
  3. #12 – Dothat Dance (6-1): Owns career best turf BRIS# (93) but that was going 9f; will be interesting if he can adjust to sprinting as this will be first chance sprinting

Race 10 is ON THE TURF

  1.  #8 – Cyclobomb (4-1): *** BEST BET *** Two career races, only beaten by three others and two of those have come back to win; switch to turf will be interesting since trainer J. Lawrence is 0 for 29 with runners in turf debut (Yikes!); fired bullets in last two works over Fai training track
  2.  #7 – Caneel Bay (10-1): Has hit the board in all four career outings, all four sprinting on turf but latest came 9-months ago; small outfit struggles to get to Winners’ Circle but this one could them there
  3.  #3 – True Cat (9-2): First start with blinkers on, testicles off; hasn’t raced since being runner-up on The Big T dirt; both turf tries came against MCL; confident move into MSW by trainer H. Smith

YESTERDAY’S NEWS  

  • On Sunday June 3rd at Laurel had 6 winners from the 10-race card (2 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $4.40 (1st race), $12.60 (2nd), $6.80 (3rd), $3.20 (5th), $2.60 (6th), $3.80 (9th) and $7.20 (10th). Top Selections are 188 for 653 (28.79%). In 2017, Top Selections went 340 for 1,197 (28.40%).
  • BEST BET of the Day (68:18-17-8; in 2017 119: 39-25-19) Runaway Bull (3rd race: 7-2 M/L; 6-5 PT) chased the pace three wide around the turn, had aim on the lead in upper stretch, flattened out late to be runner-up, two-lengths behind the winner and returned $2.60 to PLACE and $2.10 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (66:8-15-9; in 2017 107: 18-13-15) Roman Warrior (4th race: 12-1 M/L; 10-1 PT) raced off the pace early, showed little response in the stretch and finished sixth.

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