The GQ Approach – Pimlico May 10

by | May 10, 2018 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing

Rapid Dan

Rapid Dan (#2) cruised to victory in an allowance at Laurel Park. Photo by The Racing Biz.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park for the live spring racing meet, Post Time 1:10pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today's Carryovers
  • Rainbow Pick 6: none
  • Super High 5: none
  • Late Pick 5: none
GQ's Handicapping Tip of the Day
Jockey’s Lone Mount - Depending on how many mounts a jockey typically gets on a given day, if a jock only has one mount, especially towards the end of the day, that horse warrants a second look.
Best Bet of the Day
Race 6 / #6 – Lunar Boogie (9-5)
Longshot Play of the Day
Race 7 /#7 – Snow Queen (15-1)
Multi-race Wagers
  • Race 1 – $2 Double  3, 4, 7  w/ 2 ($6)
  • Race 5 – 50 cent Pick-5  2, 4, 7 w/ 6 w/ 2, 3, 7, 11 w/ 2, 4 w/ 1, 2, 3, 10 ($48)
  • Race 8 – $2 Double  2, 4  w/ 1, 2, 3 ($12)

Analysis

  • Weather: Mostly Cloudy with showers late; highs in the low-80s
  • Scheduled turf races: 1st, 3rd, 5th, 7th, 9th
  • Projected track conditions: Main – FAST / Turf – FIRM  

Opening Day at Pimlico – Post Time 1:10pm EDT

Race 1 is ON THE TURF

  1. #4 – Brooklyn Speights (2-1): Just 1 for 14 on the grass while racing against NY-breds in the Empire State but latest effort versus better gives hope with class relief here 
  2. #3 – Stephen’s Answer (5-2): Switches trainers and stretches out to two turns after showing late interest sprinting in just second try on turf; did OK on synthetic at Pid (4:1-1-1)
  3. #7 – High Society (5-1): Need to toss first start of ’18 as it came on dirt; gets back on familiar footing where he’s been ITM more often than not (8:1-4-1); last win was in a $16kN2L contest

Race 2

  1. #2 – Tipsy Moose (2-1): Goes for fifth straight victory as latest came in this same Starter Alw condition though that one was much lighter on talent than those in here; gets perfect stalking trip
  2. #4 – Gold Man (9-5): Earned a huge BRIS# (96) at Pen when runner-up at 13-1 in AlwN2Y event; last win came versus similar over a muddy Lrl track
  3. #6 – Spirit Grabber (5-2): Beaten favorite versus better at Prx on an off track which seems to be his nemesis of late; cut back to sprint should have him coming off the pace

Race 3 is ON THE TURF

  1. #6 – Clare’s Dowery (8-1): Finally passed N3L test when put back on turf for the first time since last July; seems to have reacted positively to racing without Lasix w/ a win and runner-up since
  2. #1/1A – Kitty’s Right/Meddybemps (7-2): #1A is an AE and will likely scratch but “Kitty” has two runner-up finishes in as many starts on the Pim lawn; makes third start after layoff
  3. #8 – On the Hop (5-1): 3 y.o. facing elders as she did when winning in gate-to-wire fashion at Tam to start a two race win streak; goes for the Hat Trick today at sixth different venue in 9th career start; one disastrous turf start for daughter of an old turf-star Artie Schiller

Race 4

  1. #7 – Nancy R (3-5): Far from the Lock of the Century as she’s 0 for 20, finding different ways to lose, so who can beat her? Looking at her rivals PPs, feel like Sgt. Schultz from Hogan’s Heroes, “I SEE NOTHING!” 
  2. #4 – Im a Dancer (5-1): This 5 y.o. mare and top pick face a quintet of 3 y.o.; she makes third start after layoff, BRIS#s have been climbing but has already finished 8-lengths behind top pick twice before
  3. #2 – Donna’s Delight (15-1): It’s been downhill since failing as 6-5 choice 4 races back at this level; 7-wide on the turn in latest didn’t help; getting two turns might help

Race 5 is ON THE TURF

  1. #4 – Dattt Melody (9-2): Can boast best career turf BRIS# of this bunch which came in a 6-lengths loss last Sept.; makes first start after trainer M. Gorham claim
  2. #7 – Southside Warrior (5-1): Gets class relief after earning SHOW purse in minor stakes at CT on least favorite surface (fast dirt); ’18 turf debut looks promising
  3. #2 – Barney Rebel (7-2): 10 y.o. returns to favorite turf course (6:2-3-1 at Pim) after spending winter at GP, getting buried by 8+ lengths in latest in what has proven to be a key race with top 3 finishers winning next out

Race 6

  1. #6 – Lunar Boogie (9-5): *** BEST BET *** This gray only needs to improve a tad off his career debut, when third at this level while runner-up came back to break maiden by 12+ lengths at Bel a level higher
  2. #3 – Flankenstein (7-2): A ten-race veteran hasn’t raced in over a year; shows a half dozen A. M. drills which progresses nicely from 3 to 5 furlongs
  3. #5 – Colonel Argo (4-1): 11-time loser showed big improvement in second start since last July when runner-up in slop at Lrl; E. Gonzalez retains mount 8 others before him

Race 7 is ON THE TURF

  1. #7 – Snow Queen (15-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Simply a shot in the dark with this 5 y.o. daughter of Colonel John who earned his living going long on the turf; she makes grass debut as well as first going two-turns after running on late sprinting in first start of ’18; expecting her to go off higher than her ML odds
  2. #11 – Liberal (7-2): Former G. Motion trainee makes MD racing circuit debut for M. Eppler after starting career in France then imported to US making rounds on the turf at Kee, Aqu, Tam and GP; gets Eppler’s “go to” rider H. Karamanos
  3.  #2 – Enthusiastic Gal (4-1): One of two runners on the Pim card for Prx-based trainer S. Klesaris; this 6 y.o. comes off a 28-month layoff! Certainly has been busy in the A.M. and has turf BRIS#s (75-88) better than the rest in here  

Race 8

  1. #2 – Hatteras Bound (6-5): Catches a soft group of $16kN3L as she weakened late at Aqu versus similar going one mile; needs to get extra 1/16th but appears to be lone speed /em>
  2. #4 – Emoticon (8-5): Disposed of $16kN2L in latest when coming off a brief layoff on a Lrl track listed as ”good”; runner-up from latest came back to get second career win
  3. #5 – Afleet Domination (8-1): Third race after a 14-month layoff; showed nothing in first at Lrl but came alive to get second at CT against a much weaken gathering

Race 9 is ON THE TURF

  1.  #1/1A – Day of Reckoning/Shanghai Storm (12-1): #1A is an AE and will likely scratch but “Day” steps up while making turf debut, is bred top and bottom to love the lawn and will try to go gate-to-wire with J.D. Acosta in the irons as the Pim turf sprints are only 5f v. 5 ½f at Lrl
  2. #3 – Benevolent Prince (4-1): Definition of insanity here… has been sent off PT favorite in 5 of 6 career starts and not only didn’t win but only hit the board once! Melted down in gate prior to latest which was first since last May
  3. #2 – Whenthedovescry (5-2): Likely PT choice after a nice SHOW effort when stepped up from $10kMCL dirt debut to face $25kMCL on turf; came from off the pace in both and will need to be more forwardly place in this 5f event

 

YESTERDAY’S NEWS  

  • On Sunday May 6th Closing Day at Laurel had 6 winners from the 9-race card (3 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $2.20 (1st race), $4.40 (2nd), $5.40 (5th) $2.60 (6th) $5.60 (7th) and $7.00 (8th). Top Selections are 154 for 516 (29.84%). In 2017, Top Selections went 340 for 1,197 (28.40%).
  • BEST BET of the Day (54:15-11-8; in 2017 119: 39-25-19) A Great Time (8th race: 2-1 M/L; 2-1 PT) took quick control to rate the pace inside, was pressured from the mid-point of the turn and raced clear to late stretch but was caught nearing the wire to return $3.60 to PLACE and $2.80 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (53:6-12-6; in 2017 107: 18-13-15) Thirst for Truth (9th race: 10-1 M/L; 11-1 PT) saved ground throughout the contest but came up empty in the stretch and finished seventh.

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