The GQ Approach – Laurel October 9

by | Oct 9, 2017 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing |

Chublicious

Chublicious was up late to defeat Blu Moon Ace in the De Francis Dash. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park for the live Fall racing meet, Post Time 1:10pm EDT including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Early and Late Pick-5s, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today's Carryovers
  • Rainbow Pick 6: no carryover
  • Super High 5$4,885.06
  • Late Pick 5: no carryover
GQ's Handicapping Tip of the Day
Change of Equipment or Medication - Trainers often tinker with a horse's equipment - putting on or removing blinkers, adding Lasix, gelding a horse - to find what works best. Sometimes these changes can yield big improvements.

Analysis

  • Weather: Overcast, slight chance of showers, high of 81
  • Scheduled turf races: Off the turf today
  • Projected track conditions… Main: SLOPPY; Turf: OFF

Post Time for Race 1 is 1:10pm EDT

With GQ on a day off today, we present some horses to watch…

  • Race 2 is a really nice maiden special weight test for two-year-olds going one mile on the main track, and three of these are worth a gander (though betting might be problematic, as two are short odds). Believe in Royalty (9-5) got quite a useful education in his debut when he was pushed out practically into the Delaware Park parking lot on the first turn, ran behind horses up the backstretch, came between to loom a major threat into the lane, but emptied out late to be third, beaten just a length while nine ahead of the fourth-place finisher, who then came back to win next out. This son of Tapit is out of the Kentucky Oaks-winning Proud Citizen mare Believe You Can, cost $900,000 at auction, and certainly is bred to be any kind. Another who got a useful education on debut is Broad Surprise (2-1), The Mineshaft colt was banged around leaving the gate, found himself well behind the field, ran on late to be third, and then galloped out nicely. He’s bred to want the added ground he’ll find today and can improve off a decent debut. Perhaps worth noting: Alex Cintron, who rode him in his debut, picks Believe in Royalty today. One other notable: Whirlin Curlin (6-1) makes his career bow for trainer Gary Capuano with a lengthy string of works on the page. He’s a Marathon Farms homebred and a half-brother to stakes winner Lexington Street, who ran second in her debut as a two-year-old.
  • The eighth is a first-level allowance for three-year-olds and up going six furlongs on the main track, with plenty of horses of interest. Perhaps the most interesting is Bestkindoftrouble (6-1). The Tim Keefe-trained son of Shackleford won easily last out to break his maiden over the strip, and the runner-up, Sue Me, returned to score next out and was one of three (out of four) to run back to finish in the exacta. This one is out of the stakes-winning Eastern Echo mare Fancy Diamond, whose first two foals to race won three times each. With only two starts under his belt, he has plenty of upside still available. Angle Cruz has the mount.

YESTERDAY’S NEWS  

  • On Sunday October 8th at Laurel had 5 winners from the 9-race card (3 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-offs of $7.00 (1st race), $4.60 (2nd), $9.80 (4th), $6.20 (6th) and $7.20 (9th). Top Selections in 2017 are 321 for 1,139 (28.18%). In 2016, Top Selections were 304 for 1,213 (25.02%).
  • BEST BET of the Day (115: 37-25-19; in 2016 127: 31-29-19) Wind Tartare (3rd race: 5-2 M/L) was SCRATCHED when all races originally scheduled for the turf were switched to the main track.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (102: 18-12-13; in 2016 124: 13-13-16) Six Tonsafun (9th race: 8-1 M/L; 5-2 PT) originally scheduled for the turf was run a on fast track as half of the field was scratched. After a clean break, moved up two-wide between horses on the turn, bid for the lead entering the stretch and prevailed under brisk urging to win by a half-length and returned $7.20 to WIN, $4.00 to PLACE and $2.20 to SHOW.

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