The GQ Approach – Laurel March 5

by | Mar 5, 2017 | Breaking, Handicapping, Maryland, MD Racing |

Mizz Money (#9) held off Vielsalm (in between) and Heath (#12) to win the Grade 3 Gallorette. Photo by Laurie Asseo.

The GQ Approach features full-card selections from Laurel Park (w/ live racing every Friday, Saturday and Sunday through May 7, 2017; Post Time 12:30pm EDT), including a daily Best Bet, Longshot Play, and multi-race wagers — including the 20 cent Rainbow Pick-6, 50 cent Jackpot Pick-5, as well as Pick-4s and rolling Doubles, Pick-3s and the Super High-5.

Today's Carryovers
  • Rainbow Pick 6: $1,958.13
  • Super High 5: $926.97
  • Late Pick 5: $5,188.72
GQ's Handicapping Tip of the Day
Jockey/Trainer Combo - Take advantage of the statistics provided with the Past Performances, which give these stats for the current meet and over the past year; some trainer and jocks win at inordinately high rates.
Best Bet of the Day
Race 3 / #2 – Northern Prancer (3-1)
Longshot Play of the Day
Race 4 / #2 – Perfect Game Cain (6-1)
Multi-race Wagers
  • Race 1: $2 Double  4, 6, 7  w/ 2, 4  ($12)
  • Race 3: $1 Pick-3  1, 2, 7  w/ 2, 4, 7  w/ 2, 5, 6  ($13.50)
  • Race 5: $0.50 Pick-5  2, 7  w/ 5, 6  w/ 5, 6, 7  w/ 1, 3, 8  w/ 6, 8 ($36)
  • Race 8: $2 Double  1, 3, 8  w/ 6  ($6)


  • Weather: Mostly Sunny; highs in the upper-30s
  • Projected condition of main track: FAST
  • No turf racing until Spring 2017

Race 1

  1. #6 – Asset Allocation (1-1): One of two runners on the card for trainer L. Rice who often ships in “live” maidens who cannot get it done v. better in The Big Apple; drops from $40k to $16k MCL
  2. #4 – Celtic Ruler (4-1): Gets placed at a level where he has a realistic shot at earning his diploma; F. Boyce previously rode both of trainer T. Keefe’s uncoupled entries in here & picks this one
  3. #7 – Summer Run (3-1): FL-bred FTS by Put It Back cost $47k as a yearling yet connections confidence level must be low offering this colt for $16k in debut; still need to respect C. Lynch firsters (21%)

Race 2

  1. #4 – Battle Midway (9-5): Lone entry for Bel-based trainer D. Cannizzo who does well shipping into Lrl (8:1-2-2); will need some pace help to prevail using late rallying in the stretch
  2. #2 – It Behooves Me (3-1): Ascending BRIS speed figs coming off a near career best 96 sat closer to the early lead than ever before resulted in win v. AlwN1x… might be new tactics that will work again
  3. #5 – Monkey’s Medal (8-1): Drops to lowest level of career and has yet to see Winners’ Circle in previous dozen tries at this distance (12:0-1-5); should improve off latest going 7 furlongs     

Race 3

  1. #2 – Northern Prancer (3-1): *** BEST BET *** Rough trip in latest yet still nearly prevailed when losing a headbob photo; K. Gomez retains mount trying to make amends and gets an extra 1/16th to close in on rivals late
  2. #7 – Better Way (5-1): Has running style that should be perfect for 6 furlongs yet is 0 for 9 with 3 runner-up efforts at this distance; finished 3 lengths behind top pick in latest when having her own trip issues
  3. #1 – Show Giant (5-2): 10 lb. bug Carlos Carrasco (yes, he’s Victor’s younger brother) puts perfect riding career (2 for 2) on the line after improbable riding debut yesterday; this NY shipper was dropped off at D. Goetz (subbing for W. Potts) barn to hopefully get claimed; has speed to jump to early lead and hope hold off late comers at the wire            

Race 4

  1. #2 – Perfect Game Cain (6-1): $$$ LONGSHOT $$$ Deceivingly good 4th place effort going one mile on the drop from $10kn4L; cuts back to sprint today where he’s done the most of his damage (9:2-1-3); V. Carrasco takes over for 7 lb. bug & has won on 4 of 10 mounts for trainer K. Nations at current meet
  2. #7 – Slide by You (3-1): A pair of Show placings after passing N3L condition at today’s distance; stumble at the start of latest didn’t help the cause when sent off 5-2 second choice
  3. #4 – Let’s Be Frank (9-5): Largely ignored (8-1) when dropped from $10k to $5k yet managed stay on to be runner-up; makes third start for trainer G. Capuano

Race 5

  1. #5 – Brute Force (3-1): This Sagamore Farm home-bred hasn’t panned out so as they typically do, it’s time to quickly cut bait on steep drop from $40kN2L at Prx; second start with blinkers
  2. #6 – My Own Lane (5-1): This lightly raced 5-year-old gelding will make a living on the turf but that start will need to wait another month; not a vote of confidence from trainer K. Magee offering for $12,500 coming off 2+ month layoff when claimed for $16k but maybe trying to steal a purse until turf season
  3. #2 – Brother Slick Nick (4-1): Convincingly broke maiden in first try on fast track… in 13th career start, albeit for $10k MCL; faces a stiffer challenge today but lightbulb may have been turned on  

Race 6

  1. #5 – Wazzala  (5-2): Hasn’t been able to carry her early speed from gate-to-wire but gets a break in distance cutting back from 7 to 6 furlongs; C. Gonzalez gets 25% of second race after claim runners to Winners’ Circle
  2. #6 – My Sweet Autumn (8-1): Two career starts at CT showed she wants more real estate than 4 ½ furlongs… and gets it here; late pace figures indicate she can compete v. these
  3. #7 – Lac Ofcommunication (3-1): Comes north after being bridesmaid in debut for $16k tag at Tam when taking plenty action at the betting windows (5-2); attracts J. Toledo to pilot     

Race 7

  1. #3 – Best Yes (5-2): Failed as 3-5 favorite just 7 days ago when caught late after being engaged in a quick, early pace; BRIS speed figures on a gradual climb; just a matter of time before he gets win #2
  2. #8 – Willie B Mine (2-1): Honest running gelding who rarely gets support from the bettors makes first start since Jan. 13th; one needs to go back to 2015 to find last trip to Winners’ Circle
  3. #1 – Jump Jive an Wail (6-1): Stepping outside of comfort zone by cutting back to sprint (2:0-1-0); A. Cintron/M. Eppler are winning at 25% during current meet   

Race 8

  1. #6 – Lil Habit of Mine (9-5): Maiden win in debut was stamped as “legit” when runner-up came back to easily destroy her competition; could be in for another battle on front end as there’s plenty of other speedy gals in here
  2. #8 – Sounds Delicious (7-5): Trainer L. Rice’s other starter on the card freaked in second start earning a 97 BRIS speed figure to win by 9 lengths at Aqu which followed her modest 66 in her maiden breaking debut locally
  3. #1 – Heaven’s Door (15-1): Finally enters a race in which Faze the Nation is not also entered; that one ran yesterday, caught late when in first time versus elders so this one just might be a diamond in the rough making first start off P. Magill claim


  • On Saturday March 4th at Laurel had just 4 winners from the 9 race card (2 Top Selections; payoff in BOLD) having $2 WIN pay-off of $4.40 (1st race), $5.80 (2nd), $3.20 (4th) and $7.20 (9th). On Top Selections in 2017 are 55 for 225 (24.44%). In 2016, Top Selections were 304 for 1,213 (25.02%).
  • BEST BET of the Day (26: 9-5-4; in 2016 127: 31-29-19) Tunnel Beach (1st race: 9-5 M/L; 6-5 PT) sped to the early lead, set the pace in the two path around the turn, dueled inside Gimme Kimmy and narrowly prevailed to return $4.40 to WIN, $2.20 to PLACE and $2.10 to SHOW.
  • LONGSHOT PLAY of the Day (24: 1-2-6; in 2016 124: 13-13-16) Warleigh (7th race: 6-1 M/L; 4-1 PT) disputed the pace outside Grecian Prince, remained on his left lead through the stretch and weakened under right hand whipping to finish 4th, less than one length behind the winner.

Check out...